Morning Commentary
The market remains in “stall mode.”
Valuations don’t tip markets over, but they can help make pullbacks and corrections occur faster, like the infamous All-American Soap Box Derby scandal of 1973.

Magnetic Pull


Source: Daily Camera
The NASDAQ-100 (NDX), trading at the top of its range and well above its 20-year median forward price-to-earnings (FP/E) ratio, has deterred many investors.
Even the Russell iShares 2000 ETF (IWM), which is considered “cheap” by many, is “expensive,” from a historical point of view.
The problem with trying to game these valuations to the downside is that the market has been expensive for a long time, and individual names that changed lives are beyond the scope of acceptable traditional valuations.
But in the next pullback, they will play a role – like an electromagnetic force in front of a soapbox.
Yesterday’s Session
Mostly a dud, but the action in Industrials (XLI) continues the impressive year.

Solar stocks continue to rebound, but there have been so many false alarms. Still, we are watching them for trade instead of adding to a couple of older disasters.

Today’s Session
All quiet ahead of the open. There is some jockeying but mostly this is a wait-and-see situation ahead of Powell’s speech on Friday.
Housing Starts came in better than expected at 1.43 million versus consensus of 1.29 million.

Building Permits missed slightly and continued the downward trajectory.

| Tweet |
| 1/20/2026 9:29 AM | D-DAY AT DAVOS |
| 1/16/2026 1:27 PM | Friday Flux |
| 1/16/2026 10:01 AM | RISING TIDE |
| 1/15/2026 1:38 PM | AI Hopes Boost The Market |
| 1/15/2026 9:37 AM | AN UGLY BUT STRONG SESSION |
| 1/14/2026 1:34 PM | Mixed Midweek Market Session |
| 1/14/2026 9:38 AM | A SO-SO START TO EARNINGS SEASON |
| 1/13/2026 1:47 PM | Mixed Afternoon |
| 1/13/2026 9:43 AM | THEY LIKE OUR BONDS, STILL |
| 1/12/2026 1:42 PM | Market Resolve |
| 1/12/2026 9:54 AM | STRONG FIRST WEEK BODES WELL FOR 2026 |
| 1/9/2026 1:30 PM | Broad Strength |
| 1/9/2026 9:42 AM | DC DRIVING NARRATIVES |
| 1/8/2026 1:42 PM | Cyclical Rally Resumes |
| 1/8/2026 9:34 AM | TIME TO FIGHT FOR MAIN STREET |
| 1/7/2026 1:29 PM | Change of Guards |
| 1/7/2026 9:45 AM | HOARDING GOLD IN THEM THAR HILLS |
| 1/6/2026 1:24 PM | Strength Continues |
| 1/6/2026 9:38 AM | CALLING ALL SPACE CADETS |
| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
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