Morning Commentary
It was an impressive session yesterday that began under pressure and then turned higher. I like that the S&P 500 (S&P) was able to rally and finish in the plus column without Technology (XLK). Ironically, a couple of lesser-known semiconductor names moved higher. Buyers also flocked to momentum darlings and did some bottom-fishing. The tide is shifting back to an upward bias.


Economic data & the Federal Reserve
ADP reported another month of job losses (November), while the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services came in better than expected, with prices increasing more slowly. The dynamics for the Fed should be crystal clear – their employment mandate should be the focus next week.


Small-Caps Big Moves
Mostly green across all factors, and once again, small-caps stand out.

There have been lots of false starts for small-caps, but the S&P 600 (SML) closed above key resistance, with 78% of components higher.

Today’s Session
Initial jobless claims came in under 200,000, which paused the market in pre-opening trading, but a Meta Platforms (META) headline sparked the NASDAQ Composite. It's like I’ve been saying, Zuckerberg had to give the Street a bone on spending. It's not the first time. In fact, Meta Platforms (META) was falling off the face of the earth when he decided to play the Wall Street game.
The stock surged afterwards, and this is probably the spark for another long-term rally.

| Comments |
| I'm not qualified to pick one. But, my vote goes to the guy that commits via a signed document to cutting the # of Fed employees in half in one year, or will resign. Jeffrey Fisher on 12/4/2025 9:59:56 AM |
| Kevin Warsh Debby Deering on 12/4/2025 10:48:13 AM |
| Tweet |
| 1/20/2026 9:29 AM | D-DAY AT DAVOS |
| 1/16/2026 1:27 PM | Friday Flux |
| 1/16/2026 10:01 AM | RISING TIDE |
| 1/15/2026 1:38 PM | AI Hopes Boost The Market |
| 1/15/2026 9:37 AM | AN UGLY BUT STRONG SESSION |
| 1/14/2026 1:34 PM | Mixed Midweek Market Session |
| 1/14/2026 9:38 AM | A SO-SO START TO EARNINGS SEASON |
| 1/13/2026 1:47 PM | Mixed Afternoon |
| 1/13/2026 9:43 AM | THEY LIKE OUR BONDS, STILL |
| 1/12/2026 1:42 PM | Market Resolve |
| 1/12/2026 9:54 AM | STRONG FIRST WEEK BODES WELL FOR 2026 |
| 1/9/2026 1:30 PM | Broad Strength |
| 1/9/2026 9:42 AM | DC DRIVING NARRATIVES |
| 1/8/2026 1:42 PM | Cyclical Rally Resumes |
| 1/8/2026 9:34 AM | TIME TO FIGHT FOR MAIN STREET |
| 1/7/2026 1:29 PM | Change of Guards |
| 1/7/2026 9:45 AM | HOARDING GOLD IN THEM THAR HILLS |
| 1/6/2026 1:24 PM | Strength Continues |
| 1/6/2026 9:38 AM | CALLING ALL SPACE CADETS |
| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
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