Afternoon Note
Major indices were initially rallying, but moved sharply lower mid-session after Morgan Stanley indicated they no longer expect a rate cut in December as well as Fed Cook’s comments of a possible market drop.


The Magnificent Seven are split between red and green. Notably, Nvidia (NVDA) initially moved higher following their earnings, but has erased gains and moved into the red.

Four sectors are in the green, with the defensive sector of Consumer Staples (XLP) in the lead. Meanwhile, Technology (XLK) is lagging and led lower by Micron Technology (MU). Yesterday, the CEO presented at the RBC Conference, indicating higher capital spending yesterday.

Economic Data
September’s unemployment rate rose to 4.4% from 4.3% and exceeded expectations of 4.3%. Additionally, it marks the highest level since October of 2021.

Nonfarm Payrolls rose 119K in September from a 4k decline in August and beat estimates of a 50k rise.

October existing home sales rose 1.2% M/M, surpassing consensus of +0.5%, but below last months of +1.3%.

The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index rose 11 points in November to -1.7 and beat market forecasts of -3.1. The report showed strong signs for manufacturing, plus the special survey question indicated a slower expected growth in prices, over the next year, compared to expectations last quarter. In addition, current new orders and shipments saw weaknesses, while future conditions and employment both improved.

The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing index rose to +8 in November from +6 in October, marking its third straight month of strengthening factory activity across both durable and nondurable industries.

| Comments |
| Powell is sticking it to the American investor. What a wuss. Kenn Nordstrom on 11/20/2025 4:01:46 PM |
| Wall Street “experts” seem have a distinct leftward bias toward AI. Michael Beres on 11/21/2025 6:32:23 AM |
| Tweet |
| 3/2/2026 1:38 PM | Monday Market Resolve |
| 3/2/2026 9:39 AM | WEEK BEGINS WITH MORE ANXIETY |
| 2/27/2026 1:26 PM | Are Financials Telling Us Something? |
| 2/27/2026 9:27 AM | LUMBERING GIANTS LOOK TIRED AND VULNERABLE |
| 2/26/2026 1:09 PM | Separating Vibe From Reality |
| 2/26/2026 9:45 AM | JENSEN'S TRYING TO STOP THE AI SCARE, BENIOFF CAN'T |
| 2/25/2026 1:22 PM | Nvidia Results On Deck |
| 2/25/2026 9:25 AM | RELIEF, BUT FOR HOW LONG? |
| 2/24/2026 1:36 PM | Stocks Recover |
| 2/24/2026 9:40 AM | ANXIETY BEGETS ANXIETY |
| 2/23/2026 1:24 PM | Bumpy Start to the Week |
| 2/23/2026 9:48 AM | DON’T WRITE OFF THE BIGGEST NAMES IN HISTORY |
| 2/20/2026 12:25 PM | SCOTUS Decision Day |
| 2/20/2026 9:35 AM | UNWISE PRIVATE EQUITY THREAT |
| 2/19/2026 1:29 PM | Thursday Pullback |
| 2/19/2026 9:35 AM | NO TRACTION BUT WE’LL TAKE IT |
| 2/18/2026 1:28 PM | Technology Regains Momentum |
| 2/18/2026 9:45 AM | CAN'T LIVE WITH IT, CAN'T LIVE WITHOUT IT (AI) |
| 2/17/2026 1:27 PM | Drifting Sideways |
| 2/17/2026 9:41 AM | ROTATION TRADE NEEDS MEGA-CAP BOOST |
| 2/13/2026 1:33 PM | Friday Rebound |
| 2/13/2026 9:27 AM | AI INSANITY |
| 2/12/2026 1:32 PM | Fears of AI Disruption |
| 2/12/2026 9:19 AM | THE VISIBLE HAND OF AI TERROR |
| 2/11/2026 1:23 PM | Bumpy Start |
| More commentary archives | |
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