Afternoon Note
Major indices were initially rallying, but moved sharply lower mid-session after Morgan Stanley indicated they no longer expect a rate cut in December as well as Fed Cook’s comments of a possible market drop.


The Magnificent Seven are split between red and green. Notably, Nvidia (NVDA) initially moved higher following their earnings, but has erased gains and moved into the red.

Four sectors are in the green, with the defensive sector of Consumer Staples (XLP) in the lead. Meanwhile, Technology (XLK) is lagging and led lower by Micron Technology (MU). Yesterday, the CEO presented at the RBC Conference, indicating higher capital spending yesterday.

Economic Data
September’s unemployment rate rose to 4.4% from 4.3% and exceeded expectations of 4.3%. Additionally, it marks the highest level since October of 2021.

Nonfarm Payrolls rose 119K in September from a 4k decline in August and beat estimates of a 50k rise.

October existing home sales rose 1.2% M/M, surpassing consensus of +0.5%, but below last months of +1.3%.

The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index rose 11 points in November to -1.7 and beat market forecasts of -3.1. The report showed strong signs for manufacturing, plus the special survey question indicated a slower expected growth in prices, over the next year, compared to expectations last quarter. In addition, current new orders and shipments saw weaknesses, while future conditions and employment both improved.

The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing index rose to +8 in November from +6 in October, marking its third straight month of strengthening factory activity across both durable and nondurable industries.

| Comments |
| Powell is sticking it to the American investor. What a wuss. Kenn Nordstrom on 11/20/2025 4:01:46 PM |
| Wall Street “experts” seem have a distinct leftward bias toward AI. Michael Beres on 11/21/2025 6:32:23 AM |
| Tweet |
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| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
| 12/30/2025 9:38 AM | FED MINUTES TODAY |
| 12/29/2025 2:11 PM | Holiday Continues |
| 12/29/2025 9:44 AM | LARGE STAYS IN CHARGE HEADING INTO 2026 |
| 12/26/2025 12:47 PM | Slow Session |
| 12/26/2025 9:30 AM | The Market’s Gift: New Heights |
| 12/24/2025 9:10 AM | HO HO HO, MERRY CHRISTMAS |
| 12/23/2025 1:35 PM | Just In Time For Santa |
| 12/23/2025 9:26 AM | STRONG START TO A SHORTENED TRADING WEEK |
| 12/22/2025 1:37 PM | Broad Strength |
| 12/22/2025 9:26 AM | GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END |
| 12/19/2025 1:40 PM | Is Santa Coming? |
| 12/19/2025 9:38 AM | DEAR SANTA |
| 12/18/2025 1:44 PM | Markets Enthusiastic |
| 12/18/2025 9:28 AM | ORACLE CONTINUES TO HAUNT THE AI TRADE |
| 12/17/2025 1:23 PM | Technology Slides |
| 12/17/2025 9:40 AM | SPRING LOADED |
| 12/16/2025 1:44 PM | Drifting Lower |
| 12/16/2025 9:41 AM | JOBS DATA ARRIVES (FINALLY!) |
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