Morning Commentary
It was a solid session for the market yesterday, as investors returned to their beloved favorite names.


The Band is Back

By now, you know the drill – large square and rectangular boxes are greener than the market screams. That was the case yesterday, as growth vaulted back to the top.
Semiconductors were the stars yet again, as the hottest names of 2025 found their footing and resumed their impressive march higher.

Market Breadth
There was a sharp improvement in market breadth, although new lows continued to outpace new highs on the NASDAQ Composite. But the real story was up volume 3:1 over down volume.
The NASDAQ is right back to its 50-day moving average.

Growth and momentum soared, while low volatility wobbled.

Some Wall Street hotshots are saying the pullback is already over.

Manufacturing Looks Poised for Strong 2026
More regional Federal Reserve data points lead to manufacturing building momentum, as we head into 2026.

But the jobs picture remains murky. There is no doubt this sector will benefit from the artificial intelligence (AI) building boom, and trillions of dollars in foreign commitments to build in America, but it doesn’t happen overnight.

Although the announcement was telegraphed over the weekend, it will be interesting to see the impact of “The Genesis Mission” today.

Today’s Session
Economic data released this morning has nudged the pendulum of concern, closer to jobs than to inflation, boosting the chances of a rate cut on December 10th.
The market likes that, but the battle in AI chips is weighing on the market, particularly the NASDAQ Composite.
ADP Weekly Employment Report
The four-week employment average shed 13,500 jobs for the week of November 8th, up from 2,500 in the prior reading.
This is a red flag.

Retail Sales

Producer Price Index
PPI came in below estimates, further supporting the swing of the pendulum of concern to the labor market.


Changing the AI Chip Guard?
Last month, Alphabet (GOOG/L) received a significant order for its TPUs from Anthropic, and now the scuttlebutt is that they will receive an even larger order from Meta Platforms (META). The story puts enormous pressure on Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). It would be creative destruction at its finest (and Nvidia (NVDA) will come back with upgraded chips soon).

| Tweet |
| 11/25/2025 9:51 AM | THE BAND IS PLAYING THEIR FAVORITE TUNE |
| 11/24/2025 1:24 PM | Encouraging Session |
| 11/24/2025 9:38 AM | TIME FOR A LITTLE BIT OF LUCK |
| 11/21/2025 1:44 PM | On The Rise Again |
| 11/21/2025 9:30 AM | WICKED & PAINFUL REVERSAL |
| 11/20/2025 1:49 PM | Rally Fizzles |
| 11/20/2025 9:43 AM | JENSEN NUMBER ONE WITH A BULLET |
| 11/19/2025 1:12 PM | Marking Time |
| 11/19/2025 9:49 AM | HERE HE COMES! |
| 11/18/2025 1:10 PM | Investor Angst |
| 11/18/2025 9:35 AM | ANXIETY THICK ENOUGH TO CUT |
| 11/17/2025 1:28 PM | Stocks Wobble |
| 11/17/2025 9:21 AM | Fighting Spirit |
| 11/14/2025 1:23 PM | Awe Inspiring Resolve |
| 11/14/2025 9:33 AM | PARTY OVER ALREADY? |
| 11/13/2025 1:36 PM | Nasdaq Tumbles |
| 11/13/2025 9:40 AM | DELICATE ACT OF BALANCE |
| 11/12/2025 1:35 PM | Bottom Fishing Day |
| 11/12/2025 9:25 AM | MOVING OUT OF THE SHADOW OF MEGA CAPS |
| 11/11/2025 1:13 PM | Taking a Breather |
| 11/11/2025 9:33 AM | THE SMARTEST TAKES A LICKING AS THE GREATEST RIDES OFF |
| 11/10/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Progress Renews Appetite for Stocks |
| 11/10/2025 9:41 AM | SHUTTING DOWN THE SHUTDOWN |
| 11/7/2025 1:32 PM | Friday Frenzy |
| 11/7/2025 9:49 AM | SIGNIFICANT BUT OVERDUE SWOONS IN BIG NAMES |
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