Morning Commentary
The market stumbled into the weekend, but the weeks ahead are shaping up to be anything but dull.
In fact, with unique events happening right now, along with the structure of the rally, anyone who made plans to skip through the last couple weeks of August might miss the fireworks that make the ‘dog days’ of summer even hotter.
Bottom Fishing into the Weekend
The last shall be first from time to time in the stock market. Health Care (XLV) is beginning to sizzle, and there is increased tire-kicking in Real Estate (XLRE).
Communication Services (XLC) can’t be beaten.
Add to the Mix
Jackson Hole, Wyoming, at the end of the week should be very influential, although betting has shifted back to a 25-basis points (bps) cut instead of a 50-bps cut.
Interestingly, this year's theme is “Labor Markets in Transition,” which could have easily been “Labor Markets in Turmoil.”
I think something big is brewing on the Russia-Ukraine front.
And there is always the chance of a tariff deal announcement.
Today’s Session
Economic data will slowly begin to roll in, but it will largely be relegated to the background.
Earnings will be more important, particularly those from retailers. For now, the market is watching exogenous events which invite profit-taking.
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8/20/2025 1:42 PM | Persisting Weakness |
8/20/2025 9:45 AM | TECH HITS AIR POCKET |
8/19/2025 1:29 PM | AI Bubble Talk |
8/19/2025 9:34 AM | HIGH VALUATIONS ONLY MATTER WHEN THE MARKET IS GOING DOWNHILL |
8/18/2025 1:25 PM | Quiet Start |
8/18/2025 9:45 AM | DOG DAYS OF HOPE & HUSTLE |
8/15/2025 2:00 PM | Choppy Session |
8/15/2025 9:56 AM | BY A NOSE |
8/14/2025 1:43 PM | Market Consolidation |
8/14/2025 10:07 AM | TRAIN KEEPS ON ROLLING |
8/13/2025 1:49 PM | Home Builders & Bottom Fishing |
8/13/2025 10:04 AM | CPI SPARKS WIDER OPTIMISM |
8/12/2025 1:27 PM | Trump Talks & New Highs |
8/12/2025 9:40 AM | CHOP AHEAD OF CPI |
8/11/2025 1:32 PM | Investors Await Tomorrow's CPI |
8/11/2025 9:41 AM | SWAGGER & MOXIE |
8/8/2025 1:21 PM | Friday Recovery |
8/8/2025 9:34 AM | NARROW AND SLIPPERY |
8/7/2025 1:10 PM | The NASDAQ Rocket Ship |
8/7/2025 9:58 AM | NARROW BUT MIGHTIER |
8/6/2025 1:37 PM | Apple Invests in America |
8/6/2025 9:50 AM | COULD IT BE A SMALL WORLD AFTER ALL? |
8/5/2025 1:14 PM | Trump's Tariff Talk |
8/5/2025 9:38 AM | ALLOW ME TO RETORT |
8/4/2025 1:39 PM | Healthy Rebound |
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