Afternoon Note
Major indices are near the opening levels with ten sectors showing losses, while Communication Services (XLC) is the only sector in the green.

A hotter-than-expected PPI made the Fed’s decision regarding a September rate cut even tougher. CME Fed Watch now has odds of a 25bps September rate cut at 90.6%.

St Louis Fred President Musalem (a 2025 FOMC voter), who has been mostly hawkish, gave a mixed interview this morning saying, “it’s too early” to decide on a September rate cut and made clear a 50bps rate cut would be “unsupported by the current state of the economy and the outlook for the economy.”

The 10-year yield is having a bullish day after testing support.

Breadth is weak this afternoon with decliners outpacing advancers by a nearly 4-to-1 margin on the NYSE and a 3-to-1 on the Nasdaq.
Today’s retreat is keeping major averages from further record hunting, while still holding on to healthy gains for the week.
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| 12/4/2025 1:35 PM | Muted Action |
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| 12/3/2025 1:29 PM | Recovering from Early Drop |
| 12/3/2025 9:43 AM | TRYPTOPHANE KICKS IN LATE |
| 12/2/2025 1:31 PM | Intraday Bounce |
| 12/2/2025 9:41 AM | THE STREAK IS LONG IN THE TOOTH |
| 12/1/2025 1:30 PM | Markets Start on a Softer Note |
| 12/1/2025 9:38 AM | V FOR VICTORY |
| 11/28/2025 9:14 AM | THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR |
| 11/26/2025 1:15 PM | Action To Be Thankful For |
| 11/26/2025 10:12 AM | COILED SPRINGS UNLEASHED |
| 11/25/2025 1:17 PM | Incredible Session |
| 11/25/2025 9:51 AM | THE BAND IS PLAYING THEIR FAVORITE TUNE |
| 11/24/2025 1:24 PM | Encouraging Session |
| 11/24/2025 9:38 AM | TIME FOR A LITTLE BIT OF LUCK |
| 11/21/2025 1:44 PM | On The Rise Again |
| 11/21/2025 9:30 AM | WICKED & PAINFUL REVERSAL |
| 11/20/2025 1:49 PM | Rally Fizzles |
| 11/20/2025 9:43 AM | JENSEN NUMBER ONE WITH A BULLET |
| 11/19/2025 1:12 PM | Marking Time |
| 11/19/2025 9:49 AM | HERE HE COMES! |
| 11/18/2025 1:10 PM | Investor Angst |
| 11/18/2025 9:35 AM | ANXIETY THICK ENOUGH TO CUT |
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