Afternoon Note
Major indices are near the opening levels with ten sectors showing losses, while Communication Services (XLC) is the only sector in the green.
A hotter-than-expected PPI made the Fed’s decision regarding a September rate cut even tougher. CME Fed Watch now has odds of a 25bps September rate cut at 90.6%.
St Louis Fred President Musalem (a 2025 FOMC voter), who has been mostly hawkish, gave a mixed interview this morning saying, “it’s too early” to decide on a September rate cut and made clear a 50bps rate cut would be “unsupported by the current state of the economy and the outlook for the economy.”
The 10-year yield is having a bullish day after testing support.
Breadth is weak this afternoon with decliners outpacing advancers by a nearly 4-to-1 margin on the NYSE and a 3-to-1 on the Nasdaq.
Today’s retreat is keeping major averages from further record hunting, while still holding on to healthy gains for the week.
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8/20/2025 1:42 PM | Persisting Weakness |
8/20/2025 9:45 AM | TECH HITS AIR POCKET |
8/19/2025 1:29 PM | AI Bubble Talk |
8/19/2025 9:34 AM | HIGH VALUATIONS ONLY MATTER WHEN THE MARKET IS GOING DOWNHILL |
8/18/2025 1:25 PM | Quiet Start |
8/18/2025 9:45 AM | DOG DAYS OF HOPE & HUSTLE |
8/15/2025 2:00 PM | Choppy Session |
8/15/2025 9:56 AM | BY A NOSE |
8/14/2025 1:43 PM | Market Consolidation |
8/14/2025 10:07 AM | TRAIN KEEPS ON ROLLING |
8/13/2025 1:49 PM | Home Builders & Bottom Fishing |
8/13/2025 10:04 AM | CPI SPARKS WIDER OPTIMISM |
8/12/2025 1:27 PM | Trump Talks & New Highs |
8/12/2025 9:40 AM | CHOP AHEAD OF CPI |
8/11/2025 1:32 PM | Investors Await Tomorrow's CPI |
8/11/2025 9:41 AM | SWAGGER & MOXIE |
8/8/2025 1:21 PM | Friday Recovery |
8/8/2025 9:34 AM | NARROW AND SLIPPERY |
8/7/2025 1:10 PM | The NASDAQ Rocket Ship |
8/7/2025 9:58 AM | NARROW BUT MIGHTIER |
8/6/2025 1:37 PM | Apple Invests in America |
8/6/2025 9:50 AM | COULD IT BE A SMALL WORLD AFTER ALL? |
8/5/2025 1:14 PM | Trump's Tariff Talk |
8/5/2025 9:38 AM | ALLOW ME TO RETORT |
8/4/2025 1:39 PM | Healthy Rebound |
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