Morning Commentary
I’m not particularly fond of many of the milestones discussed in financial media. Still, Nvidia (NVDA) reaching a market capitalization of four trillion dollars speaks to several things that underscore the beauty of the American economic system.
But yesterday’s session was more about the Federal Reserve accommodation getting closer.
A (Near) Perfect Session
All major indices were higher, led by the Russell 2000, and all factors finished in the green. Those big green boxes carried the market.
The AI Halo Effect
Utilities (XLU) have become the Swiss Army Knife of stock portfolios.
Historically, a safe haven that pays out huge dividends is now at the center of a global race to accelerate the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI).
The three growth sectors also made substantial moves.
Bond Yields
The ten-year yield pulled back sharply.
Fear Index
The Volatility Index (VIX) is under 16.00% again. The irony with the continued pullback in the so-called “fear gauge” is that, at some point, the Street will say it's too complacent.
Of course, at some point, those same folks might want to sit out of the prediction game, having gotten everything completely wrong.
Today’s Session
It’s a quiet morning but more good news on the Artificial Intelligence (AI) front shovels more coal into the locomotives that have powered the rally thus far.
Meanwhile, there isn’t a sense of irrational exuberance as investor surveys remain optimistic, but not wildly bullish.
I see a red flag in continuing claims. I have said for over a year the labor crisis won’t come for firing, but a lack of hiring.
Comments |
A difficult balancing act when new buy recommendations are made, because the list of “holds” is long. One struggles with selling struggling performers (GEHC) to add UNH. John on 7/10/2025 9:57:35 AM |
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8/28/2025 1:37 PM | Rallying Resolve |
8/28/2025 9:44 AM | NVDA TRIPPED UP |
8/27/2025 1:31 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
8/27/2025 9:45 AM | THE BEST BOUNCE EVER |
8/26/2025 1:16 PM | Bumpy Session |
8/26/2025 10:10 AM | MORE FED DRAMA |
8/25/2025 1:12 PM | Major Indices Split |
8/25/2025 9:41 AM | Sea Change |
8/22/2025 1:28 PM | Powell’s Posture |
8/22/2025 9:47 AM | JAY POWELL'S LAST SHOT |
8/21/2025 1:37 PM | Market Falters |
8/21/2025 9:55 AM | NICE BOUNCE |
8/20/2025 1:42 PM | Persisting Weakness |
8/20/2025 9:45 AM | TECH HITS AIR POCKET |
8/19/2025 1:29 PM | AI Bubble Talk |
8/19/2025 9:34 AM | HIGH VALUATIONS ONLY MATTER WHEN THE MARKET IS GOING DOWNHILL |
8/18/2025 1:25 PM | Quiet Start |
8/18/2025 9:45 AM | DOG DAYS OF HOPE & HUSTLE |
8/15/2025 2:00 PM | Choppy Session |
8/15/2025 9:56 AM | BY A NOSE |
8/14/2025 1:43 PM | Market Consolidation |
8/14/2025 10:07 AM | TRAIN KEEPS ON ROLLING |
8/13/2025 1:49 PM | Home Builders & Bottom Fishing |
8/13/2025 10:04 AM | CPI SPARKS WIDER OPTIMISM |
8/12/2025 1:27 PM | Trump Talks & New Highs |
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