Morning Commentary
Well, you don’t see it often, but the market and the S&P 500 (SPX) finished unchanged at 0.00% yesterday. The internals were ugly, as only two sectors edged higher, but one was Technology (XLK), and as we all know, sometimes that’s all you need.

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) led the pack as its value proposition evolved quickly (open in Hotline Model Portfolio).

Factors of the Sea of Red
A more granular look at the session shows how lopsided it was, as growth was the only deeper green on the screen across 21 extended factors.

For now, the S&P 500 keeps its nose pressed against the glass like a child looking through the window of the local doughnut shop.
The bias remains to the upside.

Small-Caps Stumble
It’s been a few years now, and fewer Wall Street experts are calling for small-caps to rock, as a result it has collapsed in positioning.

We are routinely asked and will continue to monitor. A close above the 200-day moving average for the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) could spark a trading rally.

Watch Bond Yields
The ten-year treasury yield (TNX) continues to drift and that’s great news for the economy and stock market.


Today’s Session
Economic data out this morning is coming in better than expected, but the market is quiet, except for the winners that continue to display evolving narratives. They are changing Wall Street doubters to believers. Speaking of doubters, those that have attempted to sabotage the mood of investors and bet big against America, they are now only clinging to a weaker US Dollar.
Interestingly, Scott Bessent wanted the dollar to come down for a variety of reasons.
Initial jobless claims were 236,000, compared to the consensus of 244,000, and last week at 246,000.

Durable goods orders surged 16.4% in May caused by a 48.3% leap in transportation equipment. Excluding transportation, new orders climbed 0.5%.

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| 1/20/2026 9:29 AM | D-DAY AT DAVOS |
| 1/16/2026 1:27 PM | Friday Flux |
| 1/16/2026 10:01 AM | RISING TIDE |
| 1/15/2026 1:38 PM | AI Hopes Boost The Market |
| 1/15/2026 9:37 AM | AN UGLY BUT STRONG SESSION |
| 1/14/2026 1:34 PM | Mixed Midweek Market Session |
| 1/14/2026 9:38 AM | A SO-SO START TO EARNINGS SEASON |
| 1/13/2026 1:47 PM | Mixed Afternoon |
| 1/13/2026 9:43 AM | THEY LIKE OUR BONDS, STILL |
| 1/12/2026 1:42 PM | Market Resolve |
| 1/12/2026 9:54 AM | STRONG FIRST WEEK BODES WELL FOR 2026 |
| 1/9/2026 1:30 PM | Broad Strength |
| 1/9/2026 9:42 AM | DC DRIVING NARRATIVES |
| 1/8/2026 1:42 PM | Cyclical Rally Resumes |
| 1/8/2026 9:34 AM | TIME TO FIGHT FOR MAIN STREET |
| 1/7/2026 1:29 PM | Change of Guards |
| 1/7/2026 9:45 AM | HOARDING GOLD IN THEM THAR HILLS |
| 1/6/2026 1:24 PM | Strength Continues |
| 1/6/2026 9:38 AM | CALLING ALL SPACE CADETS |
| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
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