Afternoon Note
It’s been a strong session that has been swayed by hopes that the Fed is close to a slowdown in the pace of its interest-rate increases. According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the markets is now pricing a 80.6% probability of a 50 point hike at the central bank’s next meeting.
All sectors are comfortably on the green side led by Real Estate. Consumer Discretionary is being bolstered by a big moves in Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA).
Short-term bond yields are dropping, with the 2-year dropping to 4.328%, and the 10-year to 3.849%. Lower yields are also bringing a massive drop in the dollar. The index (DXY) is down almost 2%, now oversold, and at its lowest level since early September.
Market breadth is decidedly bullish this afternoon, with up volume leading.
The CPI report was music to the bull’s ears, in the short-term this improvement in the inflation suggests a potential light at the end of the tunnel. If the S&P 500 closes above its October high of 3900, this could open the door for further upside to the 4000-4800 range.
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9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
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9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
8/29/2025 1:33 PM | Fed Governor Cook(ed)? |
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