Wall Street Strategies
Hello! Sign in or Register


Morning Commentary

THE GRINCH WHO SAVED CHRISTMAS

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
12/11/2025 9:34 AM

Conventional wisdom said the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) would deliver a “hawkish” 25 basis points (bps) rate cut yesterday, but with a hard line in the sand on any future cuts. Considering the changes made to the summary of the economic projections, it felt more like a “dovish” cut and a victory lap. There were three dissenters as the Fed lurches more openly into the political realm. The market loved the news, and loved Fed Chair Jay Powell’s tone, and understands this is an accommodative Fed that’s even going to start asset purchases real soon.

A screenshot of a documentAI-generated content may be incorrect.

The market is within spitting distance of the all-time high, and has meandered long enough that a breakout would create urgency for all the fence sitters and doubters. This is double top territory, so the inability to make new highs before the weekend could be seen as a yellow flag.

A graph with lines and numbersAI-generated content may be incorrect.

Market breadth was impressive, to be sure, although volume was lighter than I expected.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancers

2,030

3,167

Decliners

739

1,577

New Highs

175

293

New Lows

19

103

Up Volume

2.77 billion

3.86 billion

Down Volume

1.29 billion

2.98 billion

Green Acres

When every swath of the factors board is green, it's not just a good sign; it’s also hard to ignore. Small and midcap stocks continue their blistering pace.

A screenshot of a chartAI-generated content may be incorrect.

Breakout

The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) made an impressive breakout and has a ton of wind in its sails.

A graph with lines and numbersAI-generated content may be incorrect.

The Fear & Greed Index is still stuck in “fear,” but there was mostly joy at the closing bell. We’ll see what the follow-through is today, but I can tell you holiday cheer is in the air. Turns out Powell decided not to be the Grinch this Christmas.

Image

Today’s Session

A screenshot of a computerAI-generated content may be incorrect.

The good vibes from the Fed were drowned out this morning by Oracle’s (ORCL) results.

Oracle (ORCL) is not the perfect proxy for AI. It’s something of a moot point as the investment opportunities from the Fourth Industrial Revolution are spreading throughout the economy, and stock market.


Comments
Jingle Bells, Jingle Bells, Jingle all the way to a Santa Claus rally! Charles you were absolutely fantastic on Outnumbered.

Mike Mayone on 12/11/2025 12:37:38 PM
 

Log In To Add Your Comment


Home | Products & Services | Education | In The Media | Help | About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use |
All Rights Reserved.

 

×