Morning Commentary
I’m still musing about that session on Friday that was supposed to be a disaster. It wasn’t. But it was more defensive, and cyclicals also came to life.

Volume was light, but there were more new highs than lows on the NASDAQ – great sign.
Small Caps Roar
It’s been a good earnings season for small caps, which have begun to catch bids in part because they were so oversold. The S&P 600 Index is changing hands at a forward PE of 12.3%. The chart is very compelling but runs into wall of resistance that takes it to the shadow of the 200-day moving average.


In June, less than 15% of the SML were trading above their 100-day moving average. Now, the number is above 43, but there is a lot more room on the upside.

Meanwhile, the ten- and two-year yield curve inverted to -0.497%, which screams recession.

Today’s Session
The market was building a lot of steam heading into the open when Nvidia (NVDA) issued a big earning warning. That knocked some of the wind out of the move.
| Tweet |
| 10/28/2025 9:33 AM | ALL ABOUT Al (STILL) |
| 10/27/2025 1:17 PM | Excitement Grows |
| 10/27/2025 9:51 AM | REVVING UP THE ENGINE |
| 10/24/2025 1:36 PM | Soft CPI Powers The Market |
| 10/24/2025 9:41 AM | NICE & STEADY |
| 10/23/2025 1:32 PM | Thursday Rebound |
| 10/23/2025 9:33 AM | SQUEAKY WHEEL |
| 10/22/2025 1:32 PM | Tesla On Deck |
| 10/22/2025 9:35 AM | SPINNING WHEELS |
| 10/21/2025 1:35 PM | Dinosaurs Rumble |
| 10/21/2025 9:41 AM | STEALTH PROFIT-TAKING & ROTATION |
| 10/20/2025 1:28 PM | Monday Strength |
| 10/20/2025 9:40 AM | CONSOLIDATING GAINS & ANXIETY |
| 10/17/2025 1:43 PM | Friday Zig Zag |
| 10/17/2025 9:51 AM | They Warned Us About Everything Else |
| 10/16/2025 1:33 PM | Another Intraday Reversal |
| 10/16/2025 9:30 AM | ENCOURAGING BUT NEED MORE |
| 10/15/2025 1:23 PM | Intraday Weakness |
| 10/15/2025 9:53 AM | STRONG “DOWN” DAY |
| 10/14/2025 1:27 PM | Intraday Recovery |
| 10/14/2025 9:45 AM | HO, HO, HO |
| 10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
| 10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
| 10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
| 10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
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