Morning Commentary
I’m still musing about that session on Friday that was supposed to be a disaster. It wasn’t. But it was more defensive, and cyclicals also came to life.
Volume was light, but there were more new highs than lows on the NASDAQ – great sign.
Small Caps Roar
It’s been a good earnings season for small caps, which have begun to catch bids in part because they were so oversold. The S&P 600 Index is changing hands at a forward PE of 12.3%. The chart is very compelling but runs into wall of resistance that takes it to the shadow of the 200-day moving average.
In June, less than 15% of the SML were trading above their 100-day moving average. Now, the number is above 43, but there is a lot more room on the upside.
Meanwhile, the ten- and two-year yield curve inverted to -0.497%, which screams recession.
Today’s Session
The market was building a lot of steam heading into the open when Nvidia (NVDA) issued a big earning warning. That knocked some of the wind out of the move.
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4/24/2024 9:26 AM | BUYING THE DIP |
4/23/2024 1:25 PM | Bloom Off Rose |
4/23/2024 9:32 AM | WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BRAVADO? |
4/22/2024 1:22 PM | Pins and Needles |
4/22/2024 9:30 AM | LIVE BY THE SWORD … |
4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
4/19/2024 9:35 AM | DON’T OVERREACT |
4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
4/9/2024 9:46 AM | NEXT TIME, MAKE IT A HOLIDAY |
4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
4/8/2024 7:19 AM | IT’S ECLIPSE DAY |
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