Morning Commentary
Wednesday’s holiday shortened trading session saw the S&P 500 (SPX) edge out to a new all-time high, with the Santa Clause Rally looking to add further momentum.

All, but one, sectors closed in the green, led higher by Consumer Staples (XLP) and Real Estate (XLRE). The strength in Consumer Staples was driven in large part by discount stores, while Real Estate benefited from a 3-basis point drop in yields to 4.14%. Meanwhile, Energy (XLE) was the only sector in the red, as natural gas prices fell on warmer eastern weather forecasts.

Notably, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) was led higher by Nike (NKE) after reports of Tim Cook doubling his stake in the company, following the recent drop in price post-earnings.

The S&P 500 is entering into what is historically the lowest volume period of the year, as it looks to close out 2025, which is up 17.86% year to date.

Today’s Session
Futures are mostly marginally lower, with the exception of the Nasdaq.

Today tends to be the 2nd most bullish day of the year, with an average gain of 0.49%, and 81% of prior dates trading positively.

This morning, China has issued sanctions to 20 US defense firms and several US individuals over US arm sales to Taiwan.

In other news, while China’s rare earth magnet exports have rebounded from the April lows, it fell by 11% M/M in November, according to Chinese Customs data.

| Tweet |
| 1/20/2026 9:29 AM | D-DAY AT DAVOS |
| 1/16/2026 1:27 PM | Friday Flux |
| 1/16/2026 10:01 AM | RISING TIDE |
| 1/15/2026 1:38 PM | AI Hopes Boost The Market |
| 1/15/2026 9:37 AM | AN UGLY BUT STRONG SESSION |
| 1/14/2026 1:34 PM | Mixed Midweek Market Session |
| 1/14/2026 9:38 AM | A SO-SO START TO EARNINGS SEASON |
| 1/13/2026 1:47 PM | Mixed Afternoon |
| 1/13/2026 9:43 AM | THEY LIKE OUR BONDS, STILL |
| 1/12/2026 1:42 PM | Market Resolve |
| 1/12/2026 9:54 AM | STRONG FIRST WEEK BODES WELL FOR 2026 |
| 1/9/2026 1:30 PM | Broad Strength |
| 1/9/2026 9:42 AM | DC DRIVING NARRATIVES |
| 1/8/2026 1:42 PM | Cyclical Rally Resumes |
| 1/8/2026 9:34 AM | TIME TO FIGHT FOR MAIN STREET |
| 1/7/2026 1:29 PM | Change of Guards |
| 1/7/2026 9:45 AM | HOARDING GOLD IN THEM THAR HILLS |
| 1/6/2026 1:24 PM | Strength Continues |
| 1/6/2026 9:38 AM | CALLING ALL SPACE CADETS |
| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
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