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Afternoon Note

Easing Restrictions

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
6/25/2020 2:02 PM

It has been a seesaw type of day.  The major indices opened in the red, turned higher, declined again and are now higher by about 0.25%.  The S&P 500 has bounced off its 200-day moving average. Seven of the 11 S&P 500 sectors are in the green. 

Financials are the best performers in today’s session as the Federal Deposit Insurance Commission eased some of Volker Rule restrictions.  The traditional safe havens, like Utilities, are the worst performers.

S&P 500 Index

-0.07%

 

Communication Services (XLC)

+0.26%

 

Consumer Discretionary (XLY)

 

-0.41%

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.22%

 

Energy (XLE)

+1.00%

 

Financials (XLF)

+1.78%

 

Health Care (XLV)

+0.18%

 

Industrials (XLI)

 

-0.02%

Materials (XLB)

+0.02%

 

Real Estate (XLRE)

 

-0.12%

Technology (XLK)

+0.44%

 

Utilities (XLU)

 

-1.54%

Breadth is positive and new highs outpace new lows.

Issues:

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancing

1,543

1,949

Declining

1,374

1,306

52 Week High

18

62

52 Week Low

13

12

Advancing

1.48B

1.51B

Declining

943.24M

1.04B

 

GDP

First quarter real gross domestic product (GDP) had a sharp decline to an annual rate of 5%, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 2.1 percent.

Real GDP: Percent change from preceding quarter, Q1 2020 (3rd)

Chart showing Real GDP: Percent change from preceding quarter

In the third estimate, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending was revised upward but offset by downward revisions to private inventory investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), and exports.

Durable Goods

Durable Goods Order on the other hand was a different story.  May rose 15.8% following a revised decline of 18.1% in April.  Excluding transportation, orders increased 4% from a revised -8.2% in April. New orders were higher in almost every category, with an 80.7% increase to $46.9 billion from $20.9 billion in transportation equipment orders.

Durable Goods

May

% change

Shipments

$198.5 billion

+4.4

New Orders

$194.4 billion

+15.8

Nondefense capital goods orders/business inventory, excluding aircraft, which is viewed as a proxy for business spending, rose 2.3% following a drop of 6.5% decline in April.


Comments
Why does everyone on TV think NY is the United States Polls are joke Keep electing Dems then complain Most people in elected office corrupt You would Think People Would sell A bag of weed Buy a bus ticket to anywhere---U and Maria Are the only two bright spots there in a rats nest

Garry on 6/25/2020 3:07:17 PM
Great job Charles. We love your commentary ! Maybe you can talk to government officials about how the Wuhan Virus is no worse than the common flu with a lower death rate. Maybe then they'll start opening up the economy and American's can prosper once again. Regards, Carlos


Carlos Garcia on 6/26/2020 5:00:57 PM
 

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