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Afternoon Note

Jitters Eased

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
1/8/2020 1:30 PM

The markets have done a complete about face despite the launch of missiles by Iran on two U.S. military bases in Iraq.  If there were any investor jitters, President Trump quelled them during his conference, stating Iran “appears to be standing down.” He did vow that while he is president, “Iran will never be allowed to have a nuclear weapon.” 

His words were music to the market’s ears, which took off and all the major indices are rocketing higher. The Nasdaq once again is the leader up 69 points to 9137.  The Dow is up over 200 points to 29793, while the S&P up 22 points to 3259. The only sector in the red is Energy, which is giving up almost 1.5% after rising on worries in the middle east. 

Financials are the winners today, followed closely by Communications Services and Technology.

S&P 500 Index

+0.65%

 

Communication Services (XLC)

+0.97%

 

Consumer Discretionary (XLY)

+0.68%

 

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.52

 

Energy (XLE)

 

-1.48%

Financials (XLF)

+1.11%

 

Health Care (XLV)

+0.69%

 

Industrials (XLI)

+0.69%

 

Materials (XLB)

+0.52%

 

Real Estate (XLRE)

+0.21%

 

Technology (XLK)

+0.97%

 

Utilities (XLU)

+0.17%

 

On the topic of energy, the EIA inventory for the week ending January 3 showed crude inventories rose by 1.2 million barrels to 431.1 million barrels, versus the expectations for a draw of 3.6 million barrels.  Oil is down over 5% and with WTI falling below $60.

Lost in all the news this morning was an outstanding jobs report from ADP.  The December tally of 202,000 (best number since April) came in well-above the 160,000-consensus estimate.  One big bright spot was small business (1 to 49 employees), which enjoyed its best month of the year since January. November was also revised higher by 67,000 to 124,000.

Business Size

Change

Small 1-49 Employees

69,000

Midsize 50-499 Employees

88,000

Large 500 or more Employees

45,000

 
We get the government number on Friday, and if it’s anything like ADP, we should expect the market to rally even more.  Of course, it’s hard to match the move we’ve seen over the past few weeks; but there is so much money on the sidelines missing all of this.  There are lots of stocks with huge upside potential here, as underlying fundamentals continue to improve.

Comments
The Dems need to concentrate on 2024. They've shown their diverse anti-American stances. Maybe like bring back Hilary and buy a rocking chair for the Oval Office.

E. V. Wagoner on 1/8/2020 1:58:00 PM
 

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