Morning Commentary
Yesterday was another strong session for the stock market, which continues to underscore one of the oldest axioms on Wall Street: success begets success. (I think it applies to all facets of life, not just the stock market.) It’s working even more this year, because so many brilliant professional investors missed the rally and must play catch-up.
There is a good shot to see the S&P 500 eclipse the 2013 29.6% gain; perhaps, the 31.0% gain in 1997 is a bridge too far.

The Message of the Market
There were balanced gains across most sectors with Netflix (NFLX) sparking Communication Services.
|
Symbol |
Sector |
Last |
Change |
% Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XLC |
Communication Services |
53.88 |
+0.49 |
+0.92 |
|
XLY |
Consumer Discretionary |
124.77 |
+0.39 |
+0.31 |
|
XLP |
Consumer Staples |
63.14 |
+0.34 |
+0.54 |
|
XLE |
Energy |
61.37 |
-0.02 |
-0.03 |
|
XLF |
Financials |
30.80 |
-0.01 |
-0.03 |
|
XLV |
Health Care |
102.40 |
+0.40 |
+0.39 |
|
XLI |
Industrials |
81.47 |
+0.22 |
+0.27 |
|
XLB |
Materials |
60.92 |
+0.21 |
+0.35 |
|
XLRE |
Real Estate |
38.36 |
+0.36 |
+0.95 |
|
XLK |
Technology |
90.72 |
+0.65 |
+0.72 |
|
XLU |
Utilities |
64.65 |
+0.02 |
+0.03 |
Biggest Winners
Portfolio Approach
Today’s Session
The markets are set for another higher open. The latest third quarter GDP estimates were in line. Real GDP was up 2.1% and the GDP Price Deflator rose 1.88%. There was nothing unexpected in the report, and GDP is in a Goldilocks place. Personal consumption continues to rise, up to 3.2% from the second quarter estimate of 2.9%.

At 10 am ET, we will get a read on the health of the U.S. consumer with personal income and spending.
| Tweet |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| 9/9/2026 9:35 AM | Al KILLER TRADE IS BACK |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
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