Morning Commentary
Yesterday was an ugly session, with Consumer Discretionary (XLY) stocks weighing down the session, and huge drawdowns on heretofore sizzling stocks.

Big Boys Stumble
According to Tier 1 Alpha, 50% of the downside momentum came from just ten stocks.

The Roundhill Big Tech ETF (MAGS) is holding up well with the rough week.

Big Test Coming
The S&P 500 (SPX) remains above the 50-day moving average, which has been in place for one of the most extended periods on record. I should note that closing below this metric is not a “sell signal,” but holding and finding traction could be a signal to would-be buyers.

We slipped back into ‘extreme fear,’ which means near-term pain, but it is also most often associated with the forming of near-term bottoms.

Market Breadth
Market Breadth was underwater across the board, but there were still pockets of green.


|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
935 |
1,269 |
|
Decliners |
1,806 |
3,401 |
|
New Highs |
93 |
103 |
|
New Lows |
137 |
297 |
|
Up Volume |
2.32 billion |
4.14 billion |
|
Down Volume |
3.5 billion |
6.74 billion |
No place to hide.
I continue to be mystified by the relentless pounding in small-cap names.

It would be impressive if the buy-on-dips crowd made their move on a Friday, but they will make their move soon. Most of the selling is letting off steam on stocks that have enjoyed mind-boggling rallies.

Today’s Session
Momentum angst and downside bias are dictating the market this morning, as reflected in the rise in the VIX (fear index).

All eyes are on the Fed, which is hiding in a bunker, and the government shutdown now has the attention of the stock market, with airline delays and canceled flights that have an economic and morale impact.
| Tweet |
| 12/4/2025 1:35 PM | Muted Action |
| 12/4/2025 9:43 AM | UPWARD BIAS ON HOPES FOR FRIENDLY FED |
| 12/3/2025 1:29 PM | Recovering from Early Drop |
| 12/3/2025 9:43 AM | TRYPTOPHANE KICKS IN LATE |
| 12/2/2025 1:31 PM | Intraday Bounce |
| 12/2/2025 9:41 AM | THE STREAK IS LONG IN THE TOOTH |
| 12/1/2025 1:30 PM | Markets Start on a Softer Note |
| 12/1/2025 9:38 AM | V FOR VICTORY |
| 11/28/2025 9:14 AM | THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR |
| 11/26/2025 1:15 PM | Action To Be Thankful For |
| 11/26/2025 10:12 AM | COILED SPRINGS UNLEASHED |
| 11/25/2025 1:17 PM | Incredible Session |
| 11/25/2025 9:51 AM | THE BAND IS PLAYING THEIR FAVORITE TUNE |
| 11/24/2025 1:24 PM | Encouraging Session |
| 11/24/2025 9:38 AM | TIME FOR A LITTLE BIT OF LUCK |
| 11/21/2025 1:44 PM | On The Rise Again |
| 11/21/2025 9:30 AM | WICKED & PAINFUL REVERSAL |
| 11/20/2025 1:49 PM | Rally Fizzles |
| 11/20/2025 9:43 AM | JENSEN NUMBER ONE WITH A BULLET |
| 11/19/2025 1:12 PM | Marking Time |
| 11/19/2025 9:49 AM | HERE HE COMES! |
| 11/18/2025 1:10 PM | Investor Angst |
| 11/18/2025 9:35 AM | ANXIETY THICK ENOUGH TO CUT |
| 11/17/2025 1:28 PM | Stocks Wobble |
| 11/17/2025 9:21 AM | Fighting Spirit |
| More commentary archives | |
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