Morning Commentary
The S&P 500 (SPX) eked out the tiniest of gains yesterday, but the history books will put it in the plus column. Only three sectors managed to finish in the green, including Technology (XLK), Materials (XLB), and Industrials (XLI). And the same names keep powering ahead of the pack.
Anxiety Rising
The Fear and Greed Index has shifted to neutral, even as the market continues to make new highs.
There is always a smattering of “Mag Seven” names higher, with the only clear name under duress being Tesla (TSLA) after a monumental rally. Entertainment names were slammed, and Consumer Staples (XLP) continues to be unattractive, even with angst in the air.
Market breadth was negative on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), as all the action and buying activity remained focused on NASDAQ names. Check out that up to down volume – it’s champing at the bit.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1,286 |
2,642 |
Decliners |
1,484 |
1,953 |
New Highs |
124 |
368 |
New Lows |
40 |
93 |
Up Volume |
2.21 billion |
6.36 billion |
Down Volume |
2.29 billion |
2.39 billion |
There is no jobs report today, but I have a hunch it would have been disappointing, coming in below the consensus. The market is riding on muscle memory and the Artificial Intelligence (AI) frenzy, but more names have to participate.
Today’s Session
The jobs report was scheduled for today, so in its absence, I crunched the numbers, using a back-of-the-envelope calculation; I think we would be reporting 10,000 job losses and revisions to August of down 25,000.
Yesterday, the Chicago Fed released a forecast of the unemployment rate at 4.3%.
With that in mind, the debate would be whether a 50 bps cut is needed at the next FOMC meeting.
Comments |
A little hesitant to buy in on AI. There is a groundswell of public opposition to data centers now the truth is coming out about the noise, water, and power needs. Not sure our infrastructure can handle those needs at this point. I speak from experience with a data center going up near my home. Even though the public objected to this project, it was already a done deal and shoved down our throats. William Frohberg on 10/3/2025 11:16:14 AM |
Tweet |
10/3/2025 1:30 PM | Midday Air Pocket |
10/3/2025 9:33 AM | MUSCLE MEMORY & AI FRENZY |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
10/1/2025 9:45 AM | FINTECH MAKES ITS MOVE |
9/30/2025 1:47 PM | Shutdown Clock Ticks |
9/30/2025 9:52 AM | THANK YOU, SEPTEMBER |
9/29/2025 1:43 PM | Technology Turning Back Online |
9/29/2025 9:43 AM | Buy the Dip & March of the Federal Reserve Talking Heads |
9/26/2025 1:31 PM | Modest Gains |
9/26/2025 9:39 AM | GOOD NEWS HITS HARD |
9/25/2025 1:42 PM | Consolidation Phase |
9/25/2025 9:27 AM | Softness |
9/24/2025 1:29 PM | Mega Cap Profit Taking |
9/24/2025 9:35 AM | POWELL POKES |
9/23/2025 1:19 PM | Buying America |
9/23/2025 9:40 AM | THE HYPE IS NO JOKE |
9/22/2025 1:35 PM | Exhibiting Resolve |
9/22/2025 9:36 AM | CONSOLIDATION IS NOT THE END OF THE PARTY |
9/19/2025 1:39 PM | Heading for a Strong Week |
9/19/2025 9:39 AM | Another Lesson in Panic |
9/18/2025 1:23 PM | Rate Cut Rally |
9/18/2025 9:48 AM | Risk Management Cut |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
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