Afternoon Note
Major indices are showing resolve, edging into the green, in the face of the government shutdown. The early-selling interest proved to be short-lived, as the market expected a shutdown for some time.
Betting odds for the current federal shutdown lasting 10-29 days are 42%.
Economic data at risk of being delayed include jobless claims, monthly jobs report, CPI, and PPI.
Five sectors are moving higher, with Health Care (XLV) once again in the lead.
Meanwhile, Communication Services (XLC) is the laggard, led lower by news and advertising companies.
The ten-year treasury yield (TNX) is down 2.5 basis points, continuing to decline following the post-FOMC rise.
Economic Data
ISM PMI rose to 49.1 in September from 48.7 in August and above expectations of 49.
Notable Points:
The comments section is pretty rough, respondents are still highlighting tariff-related headwinds.
Comments |
Charles, regarding your education segment today; as a father of twin teenagers the biggest problem I have seen is the use of google classroom and the elimination of textbooks in public schools. James W. on 10/1/2025 3:00:22 PM |
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10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
10/1/2025 9:45 AM | FINTECH MAKES ITS MOVE |
9/30/2025 1:47 PM | Shutdown Clock Ticks |
9/30/2025 9:52 AM | THANK YOU, SEPTEMBER |
9/29/2025 1:43 PM | Technology Turning Back Online |
9/29/2025 9:43 AM | Buy the Dip & March of the Federal Reserve Talking Heads |
9/26/2025 1:31 PM | Modest Gains |
9/26/2025 9:39 AM | GOOD NEWS HITS HARD |
9/25/2025 1:42 PM | Consolidation Phase |
9/25/2025 9:27 AM | Softness |
9/24/2025 1:29 PM | Mega Cap Profit Taking |
9/24/2025 9:35 AM | POWELL POKES |
9/23/2025 1:19 PM | Buying America |
9/23/2025 9:40 AM | THE HYPE IS NO JOKE |
9/22/2025 1:35 PM | Exhibiting Resolve |
9/22/2025 9:36 AM | CONSOLIDATION IS NOT THE END OF THE PARTY |
9/19/2025 1:39 PM | Heading for a Strong Week |
9/19/2025 9:39 AM | Another Lesson in Panic |
9/18/2025 1:23 PM | Rate Cut Rally |
9/18/2025 9:48 AM | Risk Management Cut |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
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