Morning Commentary
All major equity indices finished lower yesterday, and although it was an orderly session, investors have grown accustomed to it. It may soon become antsy.
Market breadth was compelling, with many more decliners than advancers; however, volume on the NASDAQ underscores the unbridled excitement in the AI trade, which is widening.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1041 |
1948 |
Decliners |
1746 |
2667 |
New Highs |
79 |
159 |
New Lows |
43 |
71 |
Up Volume |
1.9 billion |
5.04 billion |
Down Volume |
2.8 billion |
3.55 billion |
The S&P 500 reflected growing angst, as defensive sectors moved higher.
A closer look at extended factors reveals a risk-adverse nature of the session, with large-cap revenue and low volatility in the green (slightly).
Today’s Session
Futures have been under slight pressure all morning. Economic data released this morning came in stronger than expected.
Initial Jobless Claims plunged to 218,000, and the consensus was 235,000.
Durable goods also came in above consensus.
GDP
The third revision of the second quarter GDP soared to 3.8%, against the consensus of 3.3%.
We need to rethink GDP as the ultimate measure of a nation's economic health. This is a doozy.
Real final sales to private domestic purchasers climbed to 2.9%, after the initial read of 1.2%.
The consolidation phase has begun.
Tweet |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
10/1/2025 9:45 AM | FINTECH MAKES ITS MOVE |
9/30/2025 1:47 PM | Shutdown Clock Ticks |
9/30/2025 9:52 AM | THANK YOU, SEPTEMBER |
9/29/2025 1:43 PM | Technology Turning Back Online |
9/29/2025 9:43 AM | Buy the Dip & March of the Federal Reserve Talking Heads |
9/26/2025 1:31 PM | Modest Gains |
9/26/2025 9:39 AM | GOOD NEWS HITS HARD |
9/25/2025 1:42 PM | Consolidation Phase |
9/25/2025 9:27 AM | Softness |
9/24/2025 1:29 PM | Mega Cap Profit Taking |
9/24/2025 9:35 AM | POWELL POKES |
9/23/2025 1:19 PM | Buying America |
9/23/2025 9:40 AM | THE HYPE IS NO JOKE |
9/22/2025 1:35 PM | Exhibiting Resolve |
9/22/2025 9:36 AM | CONSOLIDATION IS NOT THE END OF THE PARTY |
9/19/2025 1:39 PM | Heading for a Strong Week |
9/19/2025 9:39 AM | Another Lesson in Panic |
9/18/2025 1:23 PM | Rate Cut Rally |
9/18/2025 9:48 AM | Risk Management Cut |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
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