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Morning Commentary

Softness

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
9/25/2025 9:27 AM

All major equity indices finished lower yesterday, and although it was an orderly session, investors have grown accustomed to it. It may soon become antsy.

Market breadth was compelling, with many more decliners than advancers; however, volume on the NASDAQ underscores the unbridled excitement in the AI trade, which is widening.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancers

1041

1948

Decliners

1746

2667

New Highs

79

159

New Lows

43

71

Up Volume

1.9 billion

5.04 billion

Down Volume

2.8 billion

3.55 billion

The S&P 500 reflected growing angst, as defensive sectors moved higher.

A closer look at extended factors reveals a risk-adverse nature of the session, with large-cap revenue and low volatility in the green (slightly).

Today’s Session

Futures have been under slight pressure all morning.  Economic data released this morning came in stronger than expected.

Initial Jobless Claims plunged to 218,000, and the consensus was 235,000.

Durable goods also came in above consensus. 

GDP

The third revision of the second quarter GDP soared to 3.8%, against the consensus of 3.3%.

We need to rethink GDP as the ultimate measure of a nation's economic health. This is a doozy.

Real final sales to private domestic purchasers climbed to 2.9%, after the initial read of 1.2%.

The consolidation phase has begun.


 

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