Afternoon Note
Major indices rebounded from pre-market losses but are currently mixed.

Following the FOMC meeting yesterday, the Ten-Year Treasury Yield (TNX) moved below 4.3% and is continuing lower, down 2.1 basis points.

Seven sectors are moving higher, with Financials (XLF) and Communication Services (XLC) leading the way. Consumer Staples (XLP) is the laggard, but only declining marginally.

Economic Data
Conference Board’s Leading Economic index fell for its third consecutive month, reporting the largest drop since October.

Existing home sales for February rose 4.2% m/m to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.26M, above last month’s 4.09M and above the forecasted decline to 3.95M. Gains in the single-family market helped offset the decline in condos and co-op. Mortgage applications have moved up due to mortgage rates dropping, but home owner optimism is not.

As a result, homebuilders are getting a boost today.

Darden Restaurants (DRI) is making an impressive reversal today after reporting earnings, showing signals we are looking for in broader market turns.
The company announced the acquisition of Chuy’s, a tex mex chain, as well as an expanded partnership for food delivery with Uber (UBER). Additionally, they signaled that middle and high income consumers are still seeing resilience, which may signal a broader market turn.
"We still think that consumers want to splurge on something, and they splurge on things that they get a great value for and they get a great experience on." - Rick Cardenas, CEO

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| 1/20/2026 9:29 AM | D-DAY AT DAVOS |
| 1/16/2026 1:27 PM | Friday Flux |
| 1/16/2026 10:01 AM | RISING TIDE |
| 1/15/2026 1:38 PM | AI Hopes Boost The Market |
| 1/15/2026 9:37 AM | AN UGLY BUT STRONG SESSION |
| 1/14/2026 1:34 PM | Mixed Midweek Market Session |
| 1/14/2026 9:38 AM | A SO-SO START TO EARNINGS SEASON |
| 1/13/2026 1:47 PM | Mixed Afternoon |
| 1/13/2026 9:43 AM | THEY LIKE OUR BONDS, STILL |
| 1/12/2026 1:42 PM | Market Resolve |
| 1/12/2026 9:54 AM | STRONG FIRST WEEK BODES WELL FOR 2026 |
| 1/9/2026 1:30 PM | Broad Strength |
| 1/9/2026 9:42 AM | DC DRIVING NARRATIVES |
| 1/8/2026 1:42 PM | Cyclical Rally Resumes |
| 1/8/2026 9:34 AM | TIME TO FIGHT FOR MAIN STREET |
| 1/7/2026 1:29 PM | Change of Guards |
| 1/7/2026 9:45 AM | HOARDING GOLD IN THEM THAR HILLS |
| 1/6/2026 1:24 PM | Strength Continues |
| 1/6/2026 9:38 AM | CALLING ALL SPACE CADETS |
| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
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