Morning Commentary
Yesterday, three sectors were higher, but the real news was the session's resolution.
It was tough all session, but the market climbed off the lows and finished at the highs, and that got my attention. The hammer-shaped candlestick is not a buy signal because the market is not in a downtrend. Still, it was an encouraging session.
Looking for Bunkers
Momentum and growth remained under pressure, but buyers warmed to large-cap value and low volume.
Heat Map
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) fared worse than Consumer Staples (XLP) (defense), even though Walmart's (WMT) big headline was cautious guidance. On the other hand, Hasbro Inc (HAS) was the top gainer in the session. I’m worried about the consumer.
Boring Wins (sometimes)
The top advancers featured many unsexy but solid names—companies that will be around for the next 100 years and make stuff we use daily, but the dots have yet to be connected.
The following names don’t lead to higher markets, but they preserve wealth:
There was a big decline in retail investor bearishness, but only a nudge in bullishness. It looks like “caution” is where it's at right now.
Today’s Session
The consolidation phase continues. Valuations are mostly extended when employing traditional metrics, and while that’s not a reason to move lower, investors are looking for narratives and reasons for urgency.
Buy the dip works, but there must be a dip first.
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7/14/2025 1:32 PM | Decisive Week |
7/14/2025 9:32 AM | GET READY! |
7/11/2025 1:45 PM | Facing Pressure |
7/11/2025 9:48 AM | CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF |
7/10/2025 1:53 PM | Small Caps Rally |
7/10/2025 9:56 AM | ENOUGH ZEN TO SHARE |
7/9/2025 1:32 PM | NVDA New Milestone |
7/9/2025 9:46 AM | PASSING THE BATON |
7/8/2025 1:33 PM | Seesaw Session |
7/8/2025 9:55 AM | MORE SUMMER BLAHS THAN FEAR OF MYANMAR'S TARIFF |
7/7/2025 1:27 PM | Trade Talks and Profit Taking |
7/7/2025 9:51 AM | LOVING MOOD |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
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