Afternoon Note
It’s good old-fashioned sell the news action today, which is not completely surprising. There is nothing to be worried about fundamentally, but the bond market continues to be problematic.
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The Ten-Year Bond Yield (TNX) surged this morning, gaining 6.7 basis points and approaching the 4.7% level.
Yields remain steady following the latest auction. The Treasury plans to sell $38 billion 10-year notes at a high yield of 4.680%. This is the highest yield since 2007.
I am surprised at the reaction to economic data this morning. Considering that there has been a string of negative data surprises.
The JOLTS report is wrecked. It increased by 259,000 to 8.098 million in November from an upwardly revised 7.89 million in October and above estimates of 7.7 million.
Notable Points:
The US trade deficit expanded to $78.2B in November from $73.6B in October. This is due to import growth outpacing export growth by 0.7 percentage points.
Tweet |
5/8/2025 1:49 PM | First Trade Deal |
5/8/2025 9:37 AM | POWELL SEES NOTHING |
5/7/2025 12:53 PM | Powell Under Pressure |
5/7/2025 9:48 AM | THE LUXURY OF BEING GREEDY |
5/6/2025 1:20 PM | Anxiety Continues |
5/6/2025 9:45 AM | ANXIETY RETURNS |
5/5/2025 1:18 PM | Market Consolidating |
5/5/2025 9:41 AM | MID-CAP MUSCLE |
5/2/2025 1:19 PM | Labor Market Resilience |
5/2/2025 9:57 AM | BACK TO THE STARTING LINE |
5/1/2025 1:31 PM | Big Tech Resilience |
5/1/2025 9:52 AM | MAMA SAID |
4/30/2025 1:35 PM | Midday Recovery |
4/30/2025 9:52 AM | BIG HITTERS ON DECK |
4/29/2025 1:49 PM | Fluctuating |
4/29/2025 9:48 AM | BUY SIGNALS & RECESSION TALK |
4/28/2025 1:22 PM | Earnings Angst |
4/28/2025 10:03 AM | BIG TEST |
4/25/2025 1:16 PM | Quiet Friday |
4/25/2025 9:57 AM | HYSTERIA TO HOPE |
4/24/2025 1:12 PM | Solid Session |
4/24/2025 9:35 AM | VIOLENT SWINGS AND THE RECOVERY |
4/23/2025 1:45 PM | Fears Ease |
4/23/2025 9:38 AM | FUNDAMENTALS & HOPE |
4/22/2025 12:42 PM | Tuesday Reputation |
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