Wall Street Strategies
Hello! Sign in or Register


Morning Commentary

OIL RETREATS – STOCKS SURGE

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
3/10/2026 9:39 AM

 

Late in the session yesterday, the market surged into the closing bell on comments from President Trump suggesting the war would be over soon.

The Bottom Line: We Are Winning Bigly!

He also talks about taking control of the Strait of Hormuz, which would be a grand stroke on so many levels, but would plunge the Cold War with China deeper. As I have been saying, this market is a coiled spring, and we saw an example of how quickly it can spring to life.

Later in the event President Trump remarked: “Iran has no navy, no communications, they've got no air force. Their missiles are down to a scatter. Their drones are being blown up all over the place, including their manufacturing of drones.”

There were monster reversals, including West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hitting $120, then closing at $84.09.

Flight to Safety

Technology (XLK) put in a great session, but the 1.8% move truly misses some individual spurts that ripped the cover off the ball.

Interestingly, software (IGV) couldn’t gain any traction, as semiconductors (SMH) and hardware rocked.

The hottest Technology companies were the hottest stocks in the market yesterday. Stay cool, everyone.

Today’s Session

There is a fair amount of anxiety ahead of the open.  I’m glad the administration is doing lots of press conferences, as doomscrolling and misinformation aren’t helping the situation.

Fear Spikes

Yesterday, the VIX (fear index) spiked above 31, which has been a panic level event in the past that has seen the market rally in the days immediately afterwards.

After the VIX touches 31 for the first time in eight months or longer.

Date

4D

4W

12M

10/27/97

4.29%

7.95%

21.48%

4/4/00

0.65%

-3.24%

-26.19%

8/15/07

2.87%

4.61%

-7.71%

3/16/11

2.94%

4.58%

11.72%

10/15/14

4.23%

9.44%

8.66%

8/24/15

5.05%

3.90%

14.91%

2/5/18

-1.11%

2.72%

3.35%

12/21/18

2.86%

10.51%

33.41%

2/27/20

5.085

-11.71%

30.99%

12/1/21

3.855

6.20%

-9.67%

8/5/24

3.045

6.61%

21.46%

3/9/26

???

???

???

It's time to refocus (if you already haven’t) on market and individual fundamentals, making adjustments for the short-term implications of higher oil.


Comments
It's kind of ironic how the spike in oil, only short-term, has drawn so much media market attention in the world global market. the sooner the Strait of Hormuz actually becomes open for commercial tanker traffic the better, in so many ways and not just for global oil.
By most accounts, the ships now involved (as stated here and elsewhere) are more tied to some form of hyperbolic increased insurance risk, being excessive against them by those who provided coverage in what might be considered extreme situations, around similar scenarios in the past?




Terry Dowler on 3/10/2026 1:02:00 PM
Yes, insurance has been one of the biggest hurdles. However, the Trump administration is planning to help provide reinsurance and the risk to the strait should only diminish from here.

John Jean on 3/10/2026 1:30:10 PM
 


Home | Products & Services | Education | In The Media | Help | About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use |
All Rights Reserved.

 

×