Afternoon Note
Yesterday, the San Francisco Fed President Daly mentioned two paths for Fed policy. When she talked about a negative labor shock, the stock rally picked up speed.
I’m convinced this is where the Powell Fed sees the chance (or excuse) to begin cutting. But the notion of cutting is getting a hit today.
Today, two Fed officials threw cold water on rate cuts.
- Bowman says cuts are not “warranted.”
- Logan says the policy might not be tight enough.
Inflation Expectations saw a big increase that moved consumer sentiment to 67.4, well below the consensus of 76.2.

Growth sectors are mixed this afternoon while Financials lead.

Have a great weekend.
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| 11/5/2025 7:09 AM | NOT UNUSUAL |
| 11/4/2025 1:41 PM | Stocks Retreat |
| 11/4/2025 9:38 AM | THROUGH THE EYE OF A NEEDLE |
| 11/3/2025 1:14 PM | Another Ugly Session |
| 11/3/2025 9:43 AM | FINDING A WAY - RALLY CONTINUES |
| 10/31/2025 1:36 PM | Market Retreat |
| 10/31/2025 9:49 AM | NOT AFRAID |
| 10/30/2025 1:35 PM | More Big Tech Ahead |
| 10/30/2025 10:17 AM | THE COOLER |
| 10/29/2025 1:55 PM | All Attention to Big Tech |
| 10/29/2025 9:38 AM | UGLY WIN |
| 10/28/2025 1:50 PM | Optimism Outweighs Softness |
| 10/28/2025 9:33 AM | ALL ABOUT Al (STILL) |
| 10/27/2025 1:17 PM | Excitement Grows |
| 10/27/2025 9:51 AM | REVVING UP THE ENGINE |
| 10/24/2025 1:36 PM | Soft CPI Powers The Market |
| 10/24/2025 9:41 AM | NICE & STEADY |
| 10/23/2025 1:32 PM | Thursday Rebound |
| 10/23/2025 9:33 AM | SQUEAKY WHEEL |
| 10/22/2025 1:32 PM | Tesla On Deck |
| 10/22/2025 9:35 AM | SPINNING WHEELS |
| 10/21/2025 1:35 PM | Dinosaurs Rumble |
| 10/21/2025 9:41 AM | STEALTH PROFIT-TAKING & ROTATION |
| 10/20/2025 1:28 PM | Monday Strength |
| 10/20/2025 9:40 AM | CONSOLIDATING GAINS & ANXIETY |
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