Morning Commentary


The market opened higher yesterday and then marked time. The focus remains on the latest developments on the Iran conflict. Small-caps enjoyed the best gains across most factors.

The heat map was encouraging, with many “Mag Seven” and mega-cap names in the green, led by Nvidia (NVDA).
Advancers:

New lows on the NASDAQ suggest investors are giving up on rebounds and taking their lumps.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
1,922 |
3,183 |
|
Decliners |
821 |
1,536 |
|
New Highs |
69 |
82 |
|
New Lows |
84 |
201 |
|
Up Volume |
3.39 billion |
5.46 billion |
|
Down Volume |
1.48 billion |
2.38 billion |
Hardware Rocks

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Intel (INTC) were among the biggest advancers on the session after reports of 15% increase in Central Processing Unit (CPU) chips. Interestingly, until recently, CPUs were seen as a relic, making way for more advanced chips; now they are the new bottleneck due to increased demand.

Hardware cannot completely offset weaknesses in software (IGV), but it could provide the kind of leadership that lifts the broad market back above the 200-day moving average.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has to close above its 50-day moving average.

Today’s Session

Today’s session is set to start under pressure as oil moves higher. The plot thickens, and anxiety increases as we approach the new deadline for US attacks on Iran's energy complex.
West Texas Intermediate above or below $90.00 is the new determining factor for the stock market.

| Tweet |
| 5/12/2026 1:20 PM | Market Takes A Break |
| 5/12/2026 9:39 AM | “HAVE-NOTS” SLUMP WHILE Al PARTY GOES FULL TILT |
| 5/11/2026 1:19 PM | Semiconductor Strength Continues |
| 5/11/2026 9:34 AM | SUMMER OF (IPOs) COMING EARLY |
| 5/8/2026 1:28 PM | Finishing The Week Strong |
| 5/8/2026 9:39 AM | Hot Money Moves to Cold Stocks |
| 5/7/2026 1:14 PM | Taking a Breather |
| 5/7/2026 9:44 AM | Firing on All Cylinders |
| 5/6/2026 1:17 PM | Wednesday Momentum |
| 5/6/2026 9:44 AM | NEW HIGHS BEGET NEW HIGHS (WAIT UNTIL THE CONFLICT IS OVER) |
| 5/5/2026 1:43 PM | Market's Continued Momentum |
| 5/5/2026 9:45 AM | DRUMBEATS GETTING LOUDER |
| 5/4/2026 12:44 PM | Choppy Morning |
| 5/4/2026 9:49 AM | FOCUS ON FUTURE BEYOND SPEED BUMPS |
| 5/1/2026 1:24 PM | Mega-Cap Strength Sets The Tone |
| 5/1/2026 9:24 AM | Closing Out April |
| 4/30/2026 1:26 PM | Earnings Season Heats Up |
| 4/30/2026 9:35 AM | Focus on Future Beyond Speedbumps |
| 4/29/2026 1:22 PM | Fednesday & MegaCap Earnings Bonanza |
| 4/29/2026 9:38 AM | POWELL'S LAST HURRAH |
| 4/28/2026 12:54 PM | Market Takes a Breather |
| 4/28/2026 9:35 AM | SMALL-CAP THE “BETTER” RALLY? |
| 4/27/2026 1:27 PM | Busy Week is Getting Started |
| 4/27/2026 9:38 AM | THE Al STORY SHIFTS GEARS & LIFTS THE MARKET |
| 4/24/2026 12:59 PM | Compelling Close to the Week |
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