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Morning Commentary

OVERSOLD SIGNALS ABOUND

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
3/23/2026 9:53 AM

Last week, the spike in the Volatility Index (VIX) (fear gauge) was still contained.

The Fear & Greed Index finished at 14.6, down 50.9% points since January.

Sector Performance

Energy (XLE) edged higher, even as crude oil was up more than 2%, but the story emerging last week was the buying of banks and other financials.

This is worth keeping an eye on this week.

Nowhere to Hide

Friday’s sell-off intensified amid several news stories about the Middle East, and the only thing keeping the market from moving much lower was the closing bell.

Momentum and growth took it on the chin the most, which is understandable (live by the sword).

Valuation & Discounts

But the selling is unmoored from fundamentals, and even market pundits are having a harder time finding fault with how “expensive” the market is now. The S&P 500 Forward Price-to-Earnings (F/PE) ratio is nearing the ten-year average.

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Are We There With Buys Yet?

On an individual basis, numerous stocks look like screaming buys, especially Financials (XLF). Moreover, several tech names are also trading at Forward Price-to-Earnings and Price/ Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratios that typically prompt investors to buy without further questions or concerns.

S&P 500 Map

Valuation Pullbacks

The Street wasn’t expecting a valuation expansion this year, even though there was little in 2025, but it's not clear how many folks were looking for valuation contractions.

This is a macro guide for opportunities.

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Today’s Session

The market made a remarkable reversal this morning after President Trump posted a pause in targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure.

Trump followed up his post with comments to Maria Bartiromo that “Iran wants to make a deal badly.”

The biggest takeaway is that this market is a coiled spring, and everyone should be positioning or at least be ready to take advantage.


 

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