Afternoon Note
A mixed market is kicking off this holiday shortened week. Investors are reacting to news over the weekend that President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy reached a debt ceiling deal; however, uncertainty remains until the deal passes Congress.
On the economic front, Consumer Confidence and Expectations fell again in May, dragged down by a decline in how Americans perceive the job market.
|
Conf. Board |
Actual |
Consensus |
Prior |
Revised |
|
Consumer Confidence |
102.3 |
99.0 |
101.3 |
103.7 |
|
Present Situation |
148.6 |
-- |
151.1 |
-- |
|
Expectations |
71.5 |
-- |
68.1 |
-- |
Another disappointing data report, Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey, contracted for the thirteenth straight month. Economists were expecting a bounce in May (actual -29 vs. consensus -18), but it didn’t happen.
The respondents’ remarks say it all:

Four sectors in the S&P 500 are hanging onto gains, while seven are trading lower with Energy and Consumer Staples down more than 1.1%.

NVIDIA (NVDA) rallied over 5%, hitting a $1 trillion market cap this morning after CEO Jensen Huang unveiled a host of new AI-related products and services yesterday.
| Tweet |
| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
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