Morning Commentary
The stock market continues to put on a brave face in front of the debt ceiling drama and negative tones from Federal Reserve officials. Yesterday, small caps stood out as the Russell 2000 rallied +1.2%.

Small caps have languished, but the tone could change big time with the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) closing above 180.0. So many major indices are on the cusp of significant breakouts. Failures could result in retesting recent lows.

S&P 500

There were several themes in yesterday’s session:
Internals Improving
Make it three straight sessions with more 52-week highs than lows on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the NASDAQ. It’s noteworthy but just a blip on the radar – for the moment.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
1,791 |
2,843 |
|
Decliners |
1,194 |
1,646 |
|
New Highs |
49 |
115 |
|
New Lows |
35 |
100 |
|
Up Volume |
2.41 billion |
3.01 billion |
|
Down Volume |
1.25 billion |
1.24 billion |

Letters, soundbites, and working the media (I would say referees, but that would imply unbiasedness) as the nation barrels toward the “X-Date” (no cash).

Each side makes the right overtures. But it’s still unlikely a deal will happen today. Some say we could go the entire week without a deal.
Portfolio Approach
We closed one stock yesterday in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today's Session
Market opened lower after President Joe Biden and Speaker Kevin McCarthy's debt-ceiling talks yesterday ended with a more optimistic tone, but without a deal.
| Comments |
| Charles, Watch your show every day. You look like you've lost weight. Looking good young man. I jot down almost all the symbols from your guests and plug them into my TDAmeritrade watch list. You've made me far more than I've lost. Keep up the good work. Dwight on 5/23/2023 10:19:25 AM |
| Tweet |
| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
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