Morning Commentary
Friday was another session with lots of choppiness and a slight downside bias. Again, big banks were the clear winners, but the session was a lot uglier than -0.21% for the S&P 500 would suggest.
There were significantly more decliners than advancers, and the down volume swamped the tally for the up volume. It was interesting to see more new highs than lows on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ Composite |
Advancers |
1,018 |
1,434 |
Decliners |
1,945 |
2,954 |
New Highs |
46 |
71 |
New Lows |
40 |
222 |
Up Volume |
1.39 billion |
2.91 billion |
Down Volume |
2.09 billion |
4.65 billion |
Sectors Watch
It was also interesting to see defensive sectors take it on the chin.
Heat Map
Banks stand out on the Heat Map, but I also liked the action in Industrials (XLI), which got spooked earlier in the week. However, I think they are now oversold.
NOW Regional Banks
Big banks saw deposits increase over the quarter but were down from a year ago. Those deposits came from somewhere:
Total Deposits:
Total loans:
Portfolio Approach
We took profits in a position in Real Estate on Friday afternoon in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
Empire State Manufacturing report out this morning came in far better than expected.
Key Metrics
Prices are coming down and that’s critical.
Earning season picks up big time this week.
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