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Afternoon Note

Euphoria Evaporated

By Karina Hernandez, Senior Research Analyst
12/13/2022 1:57 PM

The major indices gave up earlier gains following this morning’s lower than expected inflation data. The S&P 500 gained double digits, hitting the 4,100-resistance level, which has been quite challenging to break through.

The Street wants to see inflation deteriorating because that confirms the Fed can become less aggressive in lifting interest rates. In the FOMC’s next move, according to Nick Timiraos, the Fed will hike 50 bps tomorrow, despite some light murmurs about 25 bps today. Surprisingly, he makes no mention of a higher-for-longer scenario, which is something he has been mentioning frequently before.

Eight out of the eleven sectors of the S&P are on green. Consumer Discretionary is the weakest performer with the influential component, Tesla (TSLA), falling to its lowest level since November 2020.

Inflation continues to appear behind us, the question now is whether the Fed will follow the data into stopping and slowing rate increases. All eyes on the Fed decision, tomorrow.


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