Morning Commentary
The market continues in stealth rally mode. Leadership shifts from day to day. but the action in Industrials (XLI) and Materials (XLB) continue to amaze. However, Energy (XLE) stocks held up well versus the big decline in oil, and something is breaking there (my goal has been to grab more exposure on a dip).


Stealth Move
The real story of the market is how widespread strength has become. There is already broader participation in this market than in the June rally.

The big question and debate are whether this is a bear market rally also sticking with seasonality trends, or the start of something more substantial and sustainable. There are lots of boxes to check on that score; for now, we are sticking with the plan of trying to maximize the bear rallies using our same methodology but with shorter holding periods.

Portfolio Approach
There are no sector weighting changes in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
Black Friday is the perfect day to focus on the retail ETF: XRT.
It’s been acting better and could be forming a cup and handle, which is generally very bullish. The key is to get above 75.00.

Due to the holiday shortened trading session, the market will close at 1:00 pm ET, and there will be no afternoon report. Enjoy the weekend.
| Tweet |
| 3/19/2026 9:44 AM | MIC DROP |
| 3/18/2026 1:44 PM | Facing Pressure |
| 3/18/2026 9:43 AM | STILL TEPID |
| 3/17/2026 1:27 PM | Continued Resilience |
| 3/17/2026 9:41 AM | GREEN AHEAD OF ST PATRICKS DAY |
| 3/16/2026 1:19 PM | Green Screen |
| 3/16/2026 9:49 AM | TRADING ACTION HINTS AT MAJOR REVERSALS |
| 3/13/2026 1:40 PM | Volatility Continues |
| 3/13/2026 9:33 AM | ON DOWNWARD AUTOPILOT |
| 3/12/2026 1:35 PM | Tech Resilience Fades |
| 3/12/2026 9:40 AM | HOLDING ON, BUT STRUGGLING |
| 3/11/2026 1:19 PM | Mid-Week Movements |
| 3/11/2026 9:37 AM | COMMUNICATION GAUGE CURBS MOMENTUM |
| 3/10/2026 1:38 PM | Showing Resolve |
| 3/10/2026 9:39 AM | OIL RETREATS – STOCKS SURGE |
| 3/9/2026 1:16 PM | Opening The Hormuz Oil Spigot |
| 3/9/2026 9:34 AM | GET THE SHIPS MOVING |
| 3/6/2026 1:33 PM | Friday Fuel Frenzy |
| 3/6/2026 9:55 AM | EVERYONE WANTS THIS THING TO END SOON |
| 3/5/2026 1:31 PM | Market Struggles |
| 3/5/2026 9:40 AM | IT WAS A GOOD DAY |
| 3/4/2026 1:23 PM | Mid-Week Recovery |
| 3/4/2026 9:50 AM | MARKET NOT CLOWNING AROUND AND WANTS TO REBOUND |
| 3/3/2026 1:25 PM | Tuesday's Market Gyrations |
| 3/3/2026 10:29 AM | Message from Charles Payne |
| More commentary archives | |
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