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Afternoon Note

Markets Rejoice

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/16/2022 1:53 PM

The market is rejoicing over the fact that consumers are still spending but they have been forced to trade down on brands and quality.

Even though a consumer staple is setting the tone (WMT) in today’s session, 12 of the top 15 advancers are in the consumer discretionary sector (XLY).

On the economic front, capacity utilization continues to move higher. It was 80.3% for the month of July, above consensus of 80.2%

Chart, line chartDescription automatically generated

Retail continues to be the center of attention this week with Target (TGT) and Lowes (LOW) reporting tomorrow.

Retail Heavyweights

TGT

LOW

May 2022

-24.9%

-4.8%

Feb 2022

+9.8%

+3.2%

Nov 2021

-4.7%

+2.9%

Aug 2021

-2.8%

+11.6%

May 2021

+6.1%

+0.1%

Feb 2021

-8.4%

-3.3%

Nov 2020

+2.4%

-3.1%

 

Inflation is taking a toll even in wealthier households and we might be in recession which would mean the Fed is closer to declaring victory.


 

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