Afternoon Note
Just like yesterday, Technology came out the gate with a fair amount of gusto, although with no volume, and it quickly turned lower, as the ten-year bond yield turned higher. This is getting kind of goofy to be honest. The ten-year yield is up for the year but still down a lot from the March spike (blue chart), which was still very low.
Maybe, it's the velocity the yield is moving up today (red chart line), but even that's a stretch. I think it's more profit-taking and maybe the big move on the Street away from tech - at least that's what these active money managers are saying - note 90% underperformed this year.
WTI is moving higher for the sixth day, rising above $77 today. The EIA Petroleum Status Report showed US oil inventories fell last week by 3.576 million barrels last week, which was greater than the forecast for a decline of 3.143 million barrels. Oil has had its strongest performance in more than a decade, as demand grows, and supply constraints continue. For 2021, oil is up more than 50%.
Housing
Pending home sales fell 2.2% in November versus the estimates for an increase of 0.5%, after rising 7.5% in October. Limited supply and high prices continue to weigh on the industry.
According to Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, "There was less pending home sales action this time around, which I would ascribe to low housing supply, but also to buyers being hesitant about home prices. While I expect neither a price reduction, nor another year of record-pace price gains, the market will see more inventory in 2022 and that will help some consumers with affordability."
Year over year, pending home sales were down 2.7%..
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9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
8/29/2025 1:33 PM | Fed Governor Cook(ed)? |
8/29/2025 9:49 AM | THE OTHER TECH NAMES AWAKEN |
8/28/2025 1:37 PM | Rallying Resolve |
8/28/2025 9:44 AM | NVDA TRIPPED UP |
8/27/2025 1:31 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
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