Afternoon Note
Just like yesterday, Technology came out the gate with a fair amount of gusto, although with no volume, and it quickly turned lower, as the ten-year bond yield turned higher. This is getting kind of goofy to be honest. The ten-year yield is up for the year but still down a lot from the March spike (blue chart), which was still very low.
Maybe, it's the velocity the yield is moving up today (red chart line), but even that's a stretch. I think it's more profit-taking and maybe the big move on the Street away from tech - at least that's what these active money managers are saying - note 90% underperformed this year.
WTI is moving higher for the sixth day, rising above $77 today. The EIA Petroleum Status Report showed US oil inventories fell last week by 3.576 million barrels last week, which was greater than the forecast for a decline of 3.143 million barrels. Oil has had its strongest performance in more than a decade, as demand grows, and supply constraints continue. For 2021, oil is up more than 50%.
Housing
Pending home sales fell 2.2% in November versus the estimates for an increase of 0.5%, after rising 7.5% in October. Limited supply and high prices continue to weigh on the industry.
According to Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, "There was less pending home sales action this time around, which I would ascribe to low housing supply, but also to buyers being hesitant about home prices. While I expect neither a price reduction, nor another year of record-pace price gains, the market will see more inventory in 2022 and that will help some consumers with affordability."
Year over year, pending home sales were down 2.7%..
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10/17/2025 1:43 PM | Friday Zig Zag |
10/17/2025 9:51 AM | They Warned Us About Everything Else |
10/16/2025 1:33 PM | Another Intraday Reversal |
10/16/2025 9:30 AM | ENCOURAGING BUT NEED MORE |
10/15/2025 1:23 PM | Intraday Weakness |
10/15/2025 9:53 AM | STRONG “DOWN” DAY |
10/14/2025 1:27 PM | Intraday Recovery |
10/14/2025 9:45 AM | HO, HO, HO |
10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
10/9/2025 1:25 PM | Shutdown Continues |
10/9/2025 9:53 AM | DOOM PORN DOESN’T DISTRACT INVESTORS |
10/8/2025 1:14 PM | FOMC Minutes in Focus |
10/8/2025 9:45 AM | DIFFERENT TYPES OF BOTTOM FISHING |
10/7/2025 1:34 PM | Taking a Breather |
10/7/2025 9:55 AM | LOTS OF CHASING BUT SOME BOTTOM FISHING TOO |
10/6/2025 1:36 PM | AMD deal powers Semiconductors |
10/6/2025 9:42 AM | ROTATION HAS BEGUN |
10/3/2025 1:30 PM | Midday Air Pocket |
10/3/2025 9:33 AM | MUSCLE MEMORY & AI FRENZY |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
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