Morning Commentary
Yesterday, after five consecutive down sessions, the market could have packed it in when an early rally began to fade. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite rolled over into the negative column, but buyers finally arrived. So, after watching a lot of NFL Football announcers describe an avalanche of accolades-inducing Marque players being courageous and gutsy, I’ll show some restraint and say it was an encouraging session.
S&P 500 Index |
+0.23% |
|
Communication Services XLC |
+0.25% |
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+0.25% |
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
+0.25% |
|
Energy XLE |
+2.87% |
|
Financials XLF |
+1.14% |
|
Health Care XLV |
-0.62% |
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.26% |
|
Materials XLB |
-0.02% |
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+0.56% |
|
Technology XLK |
+0.03% |
|
Utilities XLU |
-0.18% |
Market breadth was ho-hum, as there were more 52-week lows than highs.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancing |
2,066 |
2,218 |
Declining |
1,234 |
2,167 |
52 Week High |
88 |
81 |
52 Week Low |
36 |
91 |
Up Volume |
2.74B |
2.55B |
Down Volume |
1.13B |
2.05B |
Dark Days of Crude
Yesterday, oil stocks dominated the session, but they underperformed mightily against the S&P 500 over the past five years. During that period, the S&P 500 +106%, Energy (XLE) -11%.
There is no way crude oil stocks should be that far behind the broad market, but for political reasons, as deep-pocketed investors continue to shun them in order to appear as if they are Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) compliant (very few are).
SPDR Select - Energy
Portfolio Approach
There are no weighting changes this morning to the Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
There were some key declines in parts of the CPI report on month-to-month basis:
Monthly CPI +0.3% consensus +0.4%
Lowest in seven months
Yearly CPI core +4.0% consensus 4.2%
The headlines put some pep into the market, but those gains are fading a bit. Lately, the market has opened firmly only to stumble into the close.
Tweet |
7/14/2025 1:32 PM | Decisive Week |
7/14/2025 9:32 AM | GET READY! |
7/11/2025 1:45 PM | Facing Pressure |
7/11/2025 9:48 AM | CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF |
7/10/2025 1:53 PM | Small Caps Rally |
7/10/2025 9:56 AM | ENOUGH ZEN TO SHARE |
7/9/2025 1:32 PM | NVDA New Milestone |
7/9/2025 9:46 AM | PASSING THE BATON |
7/8/2025 1:33 PM | Seesaw Session |
7/8/2025 9:55 AM | MORE SUMMER BLAHS THAN FEAR OF MYANMAR'S TARIFF |
7/7/2025 1:27 PM | Trade Talks and Profit Taking |
7/7/2025 9:51 AM | LOVING MOOD |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
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