Morning Commentary
Yesterday, after five consecutive down sessions, the market could have packed it in when an early rally began to fade. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite rolled over into the negative column, but buyers finally arrived. So, after watching a lot of NFL Football announcers describe an avalanche of accolades-inducing Marque players being courageous and gutsy, I’ll show some restraint and say it was an encouraging session.
S&P 500 Index |
+0.23% |
|
Communication Services XLC |
+0.25% |
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+0.25% |
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
+0.25% |
|
Energy XLE |
+2.87% |
|
Financials XLF |
+1.14% |
|
Health Care XLV |
-0.62% |
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.26% |
|
Materials XLB |
-0.02% |
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+0.56% |
|
Technology XLK |
+0.03% |
|
Utilities XLU |
-0.18% |
Market breadth was ho-hum, as there were more 52-week lows than highs.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancing |
2,066 |
2,218 |
Declining |
1,234 |
2,167 |
52 Week High |
88 |
81 |
52 Week Low |
36 |
91 |
Up Volume |
2.74B |
2.55B |
Down Volume |
1.13B |
2.05B |
Dark Days of Crude
Yesterday, oil stocks dominated the session, but they underperformed mightily against the S&P 500 over the past five years. During that period, the S&P 500 +106%, Energy (XLE) -11%.
There is no way crude oil stocks should be that far behind the broad market, but for political reasons, as deep-pocketed investors continue to shun them in order to appear as if they are Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) compliant (very few are).
SPDR Select - Energy
Portfolio Approach
There are no weighting changes this morning to the Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
There were some key declines in parts of the CPI report on month-to-month basis:
Monthly CPI +0.3% consensus +0.4%
Lowest in seven months
Yearly CPI core +4.0% consensus 4.2%
The headlines put some pep into the market, but those gains are fading a bit. Lately, the market has opened firmly only to stumble into the close.
Tweet |
4/24/2024 7:26 AM | BUYING THE DIP |
4/23/2024 1:25 PM | Bloom Off Rose |
4/23/2024 9:32 AM | WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BRAVADO? |
4/22/2024 1:22 PM | Pins and Needles |
4/22/2024 9:30 AM | LIVE BY THE SWORD … |
4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
4/19/2024 9:35 AM | DON’T OVERREACT |
4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
4/9/2024 9:46 AM | NEXT TIME, MAKE IT A HOLIDAY |
4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
4/8/2024 7:19 AM | IT’S ECLIPSE DAY |
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