Morning Commentary
Once again, it was a bifurcated market on Wednesday that saw Big Tech & Communication Services names lift the NASDAQ to an all-time high. But the old stodgy tech names in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (IBM, Cisco, and Intel) were among the biggest losers in the index. The biggest disappointment came from airline stocks, which took off at the open and closed negative on the day.
The S&P 500 eked out a net gain; however, buying was focused on defensive sectors: Utilities and Real Estate.
S&P 500 Index |
+0.50% |
|
Communication Services XLC |
+2.48% |
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+1.01% |
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
+0.09% |
|
Energy XLE |
-2.43% |
|
Financials XLF |
-0.86% |
|
Health Care XLV |
+0.77% |
|
Industrials XLI |
-0.45% |
|
Materials XLB |
+0.21% |
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+2.73% |
|
Technology XLK |
+0.16% |
|
Utilities XLU |
+2.34% |
Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancing |
1,542 |
1,536 |
Declining |
1,442 |
1,821 |
52 Week High |
50 |
109 |
52 Week Low |
2 |
14 |
Up Volume |
1.71B |
2.51B |
Down Volume |
2.70B |
1.99B |
More great news came from the manufacturing sector. The June Purchasing Managers’ Index report (PMI) came in at 52.6, well ahead of the consensus estimate of 49.0 with strong percentage point gains in key categories.
Employment remains in deep contraction for the 11th month in a row.
Manufacturing Renaissance |
June |
Change |
PMI |
52.6 |
+9.5 PP |
New Orders |
56.4 |
+24.6 |
Employment |
42.1 |
+10.0 |
Rollbacks
More rollback news from California and McDonald’s (MCD), coupled with a mandatory mask notice in Pennsylvania, became a speedbump. Watch for President Trump to promote masks soon, which would please the market.
Portfolio Approach
There were no changes in our Hotline model portfolio yesterday.
Portfolio Approach
We added a new Consumer Discretionary Position and reduced Cash to 5% in our Hotline Model Portfolio. If you are not currently a subscriber to our Hotline service, call your account representative or email Research@wstreet.com.
Today’s Session
In June, the jobless rate fell to 11.1% from 13.3% in May. There were 4.8 million jobs gained from 2.7 million in May, as the continued resumption of economic activity ramped up. New people filing for claims decline by 55,000 to 1.43 million, which is an improvement but is still historically high.
Jobless Rate Month over Month
The futures doubled on the news. We will have more information on the economic data released in our Afternoon Hotline.
Comments |
Charles, you are such a quiet easy going guy, no passion! You are GREAT, love you on FOX! And, thanks for this "Making Money"! John McLees on 7/2/2020 10:11:26 AM |
I just want to say that I think Charles Payne is the greatest!!! He’s a smart patriot!!! Go Charles!👍🇺🇸 Linda Linda McCormick on 7/2/2020 12:33:42 PM |
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