Morning Commentary
Yesterday’s market displayed the resolve that characterized its monster rally in 2019. There were excuses to sell and there was a lot of fearmongering, but major indices held up with all but the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallying higher. The market is amid a classic consolidation of those monster gains, which means more downgrades, and more pullbacks of stocks from companies that simply meet or beat the Street by a penny or two.
Although the market clawed its way back from initial weakness, the market breadth was weaker, as the tally of new lows swelled over recent single digits and the down volume remained persistently high. This kind of wheel-spinning is great for seducing weaker hands to fold, but even with the latest scare, most investors aren’t panicking.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancing |
1,459 |
1,498 |
Declining |
1,425 |
1,717 |
Unchanged |
126 |
100 |
52 Week High |
202 |
145 |
52 Week Low |
45 |
44 |
Advancing |
1.84B |
1.34B |
Declining |
2.10B |
1.12B |
Unchanged |
77.75M |
43.38M |
Semiconductors
I remember back in the day when Wall Street experts used to diss the chip sector, saying it was only a commodity business and not worthy of long-term investing. No one is saying that these days because chips are more than commodities; they are the engine of society, and one of the biggest names in the industry making a big noise, especially last night.
Intel Inside
Intel (INTC) was shoved out of the limelight by its old rival Advanced Micro (AMD) last year, even as it enjoyed its own rally. Now, it looks as though the company didn’t lose any market shares, or perhaps the pie is so big that both companies are benefiting:
Key Metrics
Total Revenue $20.2 billion - estimate $19.2 billion
Gross Margin 60.1 - estimate 58.4
Shares of Intel soared in after-hours trading, although there was some confusion about the strong quarterly guidance against the much more guarded full-year guidance.
Portfolio Approach
Today’s Session
Big companies are coming up big (including two Dow Components), and that’s powering equity futures higher this morning.
American Express (AXP)
Tweet |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
6/24/2025 1:47 PM | Peace Rally |
6/24/2025 9:48 AM | PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: THE MARKET LOVES IT |
6/23/2025 1:47 PM | Getting Some Resolve |
6/23/2025 9:51 AM | BRACING |
6/20/2025 1:29 PM | Second Triple Witching |
6/20/2025 9:38 AM | POWELL BLEW IT |
6/18/2025 12:41 PM | FED Day |
6/18/2025 9:45 AM | ROOM WITH A VIEW |
6/17/2025 1:26 PM | Tension Continues |
6/17/2025 9:50 AM | THE BIG TECH TEN & CO |
6/16/2025 1:34 PM | Fears Subside |
6/16/2025 9:44 AM | DRUMBEATS OF PEACE |
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