Morning Commentary
It was a pretty good Monday session that saw the same good news/bad news quandary.
Good News: Resolve
Buyers continue to show on dips, as few sessions see major indices close at session lows. On the contrary, last Friday, investors had a large enough excuse to sell stocks into the weekend, but buyers materialized in the waning moments of the session.
Bad News: Oomph
The lack of oomph continues to haunt the market, which has meandered in the shadows of the all-time high for weeks, and now can’t find a way to get over the hump. Yesterday, the market shook off anxiety and a big miss on the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). It looked as if the Dow Jones Industrial Average could rally 200 points. The index and overall market faded into the close.
Buying was evenly distributed with Technology leading the way.
S&P 500 Index |
+0.50% |
|
Communication Services (XLC) |
+0.51% |
|
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) |
+0.86% |
|
Consumer Staples (XLP) |
+0.49% |
|
Energy (XLE) |
-0.72% |
|
Financials (XLF) |
-0.25% |
|
Health Care (XLV) |
+0.90% |
|
Industrials (XLI) |
+0.14% |
|
Materials (XLB) |
+0.85% |
|
Real Estate (XLRE) |
+0.13% |
|
Technology (XLK) |
+1.05% |
|
Utilities (XLU) |
+0.06% |
The Tables Have Turned: Value is Momentum and Momentum is Value
Home Sweet Home
Homebuilders have become a momentum juggernaut, driving the U.S. Home Construction Index +44.2% year-to-date, and appear to have a lot more room to the upside.
ITB Index
Chipping Away
An index that’s changing hands at a forward price-to-earnings (forward P/E) ratio of 44.9% isn’t exactly a value, but semiconductors have been in enough of a rut lately. Some are wondering if they are oversold.
Yesterday, two separate analysts, both citing trips to Asia, voiced cautious optimism that chip demand is better than many believe, and trade developments could have an immediate positive impact.
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
Parade of the Penguins
Today sees the start of another week of jawboning from Federal Reserve officials. Yesterday in Asia, Charles Evans seemed more open to lower rates, so perhaps he can move the needle. Or perhaps someone else will, as they have had a chance…or two.
Tuesday Evans Clarida Bowman |
Wednesday Barkin Harken Williams |
Thursday Evans Quarles Mester Kaplan Clarida
|
Friday Rosengren Bostic Powell George |
Today's Session
Stocks opened higher as the last quarter of the year kicks off. Financials are leading the way, as yields rose broadly.
Tweet |
12/13/2019 1:10 PM | Zig zag |
12/13/2019 9:24 AM | Greetings From Rome |
12/12/2019 1:50 PM | Trade Tweet Moves Market |
12/12/2019 9:23 AM | FED DELIVERS |
12/11/2019 1:00 PM | Waiting for the Fed |
12/11/2019 9:23 AM | America’s Greatest Treasure |
12/10/2019 1:11 PM | Signs of High Optimism |
12/10/2019 9:20 AM | GREETINGS FROM FLORENCE |
12/9/2019 12:45 PM | Down But Quiet |
12/9/2019 9:35 AM | Why We Look for Winners |
12/6/2019 1:28 PM | Goldilocks on Steroids |
12/6/2019 7:56 AM | IT’S JOBS DAY |
12/5/2019 1:25 PM | Quiet Session |
12/5/2019 9:40 AM | INVESTORS CYCLING THROUGH SAME NOISE |
12/4/2019 1:54 PM | Bottom Fishing (or drilling) |
12/4/2019 9:28 AM | HAIL, COLUMBIA |
12/3/2019 1:42 PM | Knee Jerk Reaction |
12/3/2019 9:35 AM | Emotionally Driven Pullbacks |
12/2/2019 1:00 PM | Market Reacting More Harshly |
12/2/2019 9:30 AM | MALLS MAULED BUT SHOPPERS SHOPPING |
11/29/2019 9:29 AM | JUST BE THANKFUL |
11/27/2019 9:37 AM | IS SANTA ALREADY HERE? |
11/26/2019 1:46 PM | The Power of Retail |
11/26/2019 9:31 AM | MOVE THE CROWD |
11/25/2019 2:08 PM | Merger Mania Continues |
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