Afternoon Note
The major indices have been trading in a narrow range, in and out of the green, and are currently slightly positive. Flash PMI manufacturing data out of Eurozone weighed on the market at the start of trading. Germany’s flash PMI for September was the lowest since 2009, with a read of 41.4 (anything below 50 indicates contraction). Here at home, however, it was a different story, as September improved from 50.3 to 51.1. Business activity in both manufacturing and services expanded at a more robust pace than August.
In addition, services employment fell to 49.1 in September, the lowest since December 2009, from 50.4 the prior month. This could be a sign the cyclical top in employment could have hit.
Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit, said, “Jobs are now also being cut across the surveyed companies for the first time since January 2010, as firms have become more risk averse and increasingly eager to cut costs... Key to the recent deterioration has been a further spill-over of the trade-led slowdown in manufacturing to the service sector.”

The benchmark U.S. Treasury yield is on the decline again, down 7 basis points to 1.69%, and the 2 year is down to 1.65%. The yield curve is getting close to inverting again. The greenback is up with the dollar index at 98.69.
Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples are the leaders today, while Healthcare is the laggard.
|
S&P 500 Index |
+0.09% |
|
|
Communication Services (XLC) |
-0.37% |
|
|
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) |
+0.55% |
|
|
Consumer Staples (XLP) |
+0.55% |
|
|
Energy (XLE) |
-0.02% |
|
|
Financials (XLF) |
+0.12% |
|
|
Health Care (XLV) |
-0.49% |
|
|
Industrials (XLI) |
-0.06% |
|
|
Materials (XLB) |
-0.22% |
|
|
Real Estate (XLRE) |
+0.51% |
|
|
Technology (XLK) |
+0.41% |
|
|
Utilities (XLU) |
+0.29% |
| Tweet |
| 9/9/2026 9:35 AM | Al KILLER TRADE IS BACK |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
| 8/28/2026 1:39 PM | Jackson Hole Day |
| 8/28/2026 9:45 AM | TRYING TO SHAME THE FED CHAIR (IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK) |
| 8/27/2026 1:49 PM | Technology Leads the Charge |
| 8/27/2026 9:41 AM | NVDA DELIVERS |
| 8/26/2026 1:12 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
| 8/26/2026 9:37 AM | CONSUMERS LOOKING FOR END TO CONFLICT |
| 8/25/2026 1:43 PM | Subdued Action |
| 8/25/2026 9:44 AM | USA BRINGING THE HAMMER (BUT STILL SHOWING RESTRAINT) |
| 8/24/2026 1:28 PM | Bessent on Deck |
| 8/24/2026 9:32 AM | JENSEN IN THE BATTER'S BOX |
| 8/21/2026 1:06 PM | Market Moves Higher into the Weekend |
| 8/21/2026 9:41 AM | BOND RELIEF EVAPORATES |
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