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Afternoon Note

Yo-Yo

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/16/2019 1:37 PM

The market is continuing it yo-you effect.  Today, the markets are up with the Dow current +1.2% the Nasdaq, which has been hit hard, +1.7% and the S&P 500 +1.52%. Despite this, the markets are still on track for a down week. 

The 10-year U.S. Treasury is up slightly to 1.56%, and has risen about the 2-year again, which is now 1.5%.  The greenback is also up slightly to $98.9.

On the economic front, the consumer appeared apprehensive about the future of the economy after the Fed’s recent rate cut, which could lead to their spending less on discretionary items, according to the  University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report.  The preliminary read for August came in at 92.1, below the 97.7 consensus, and was the lowest reading since January.  July’s final read was 98.4. 

Rotation continues, and today, investors are getting out of Utilities and into Financials, Industrials and Technology. 

S&P 500 Index

+1.40%

Communication Services (XLC)

+1.27%

Consumer Discretionary (XLY)

+1.17%

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.92%

Energy (XLE)

+1.17%

Financials (XLF)

+1.83%

Health Care (XLV)

+1.20%

Industrials (XLI)

+1.76%

Materials (XLB)

+1.52%

Real Estate (XLRE)

+0.61%

Technology (XLK)

+1.71%

Utilities (XLU)

+0.34%

 

Let’s see how we trade into the close.  Have a great weekend.


Comments
I enjoy your comments as I look for opportunities for future positions

Spencer robertson on 8/17/2019 5:30:03 PM
Thank you Spencer There is so much coming at us at the same time. The thing is facts are pushed aside for headlines and breathless reporting on any worst case scenario of the moment. Those headlines trigger algorithms which in turn influence human behavior. In many ways its a form of manipulation that sadly creates losses and opportunities, Couple this with the notion of "settled science" a phenomenon in which ever so-called expert things their answers are right of historic precedent always frames future outcomes. History is important but circumstances evolve especially from a macro perspective. That said stay focused on underlying fundamentals. You don't have to dig deep, either since the most negative kernel will make headlines not any of the good stuff. Overall its a lot of work but necessary more so now than any in my 34 years on Wall Street. CP

Charles Payne on 8/18/2019 8:13:11 AM
 

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