Afternoon Note
Stocks are mostly higher today, with major indices sporting solid gains and showing signs that AI fears are waning. In addition, the Street waits for the Fed minutes at 2 pm EST for an insight into interest-rate cuts.

The so-called fear index (VIX) finally tanked from 20 towards 18. The Russell 2000 was the first one to run higher, followed by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

A new day, a different story. This afternoon, Technology (XLK) is leading the way and recovering, after a turbulent stretch that saw software names bruising. Interest-rate sensitive sectors, such as Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU), are underperforming as yields rise.

Economic Data
Durable goods orders for December slipped to -1.4% MoM, surpassing consensus of -2% but weaker than +5.4% in November. The decrease was driven by transportation equipment. Excluding this, total orders increased 0.9%.

Housing starts saw a five-month high in December, up 6.2% M/M to an annual pace of 1.4 million homes, and surpassed expectations of +1.1%. Building permits rose to 4.3% M/M to 1.448 million, exceeding forecast of a 0.2% decline.

It was a weak 20-year bond auction where $17.9B 20-year bonds were auctioned at a high yield of 4.66%, tailing the when-issued yield by two basis points.

| Tweet |
| 2/18/2026 1:28 PM | Technology Regains Momentum |
| 2/18/2026 9:45 AM | CAN'T LIVE WITH IT, CAN'T LIVE WITHOUT IT (AI) |
| 2/17/2026 1:27 PM | Drifting Sideways |
| 2/17/2026 9:41 AM | ROTATION TRADE NEEDS MEGA-CAP BOOST |
| 2/13/2026 1:33 PM | Friday Rebound |
| 2/13/2026 9:27 AM | AI INSANITY |
| 2/12/2026 1:32 PM | Fears of AI Disruption |
| 2/12/2026 9:19 AM | THE VISIBLE HAND OF AI TERROR |
| 2/11/2026 1:23 PM | Bumpy Start |
| 2/11/2026 9:43 AM | SHORTS SMELL BLOOD |
| 2/10/2026 1:46 PM | Modest Gains |
| 2/10/2026 9:35 AM | SCRIPT STILL FLIPPED |
| 2/9/2026 1:23 PM | A Solid Start to The Week |
| 2/9/2026 9:41 AM | TRANSPORTATION TELLS THE STORY |
| 2/6/2026 1:36 PM | Much Needed Rebound |
| 2/6/2026 9:41 AM | NOBODY GETS THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT |
| 2/5/2026 1:29 PM | Thursday Pullback |
| 2/5/2026 9:42 AM | TAKING BACK THE NARRATIVE |
| 2/4/2026 1:21 PM | Wednesday Wobble |
| 2/4/2026 9:29 AM | PAC-MAN ON THE PROWL |
| 2/3/2026 12:33 PM | Software Carnage |
| 2/3/2026 9:31 AM | THE WELL-WORN PATH TO PROSPERITY |
| 2/2/2026 1:15 PM | Nice Start To The Week |
| 2/2/2026 9:39 AM | POWELL SKATES PAST REPORTERS |
| 1/30/2026 1:07 PM | Market Digests Fed’s Pick |
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