Afternoon Note
The market is heading into the weekend perhaps seeking clarity more than a catalyst. There is a lot going on, and most of it centers on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve (more on this on Monday’s Payne’s Perspective).

The dollar rose today following the nomination and is adding heavy pressure to Gold and Silver. The dollar’s advance makes the precious metals more expensive for foreign buyers.

The weakness in software names continues, and it is bolstering the argument these names are getting cheap on an absolute and relative basis.

Consumer Staples (XLP) and Health Care (XLV) are catching a bid amid profit taking in large cap tech names. Materials (XLB) is facing the widest loss, as gold and silver face a sharp retreat.

This morning’s PPI came hotter-than-expected with monthly PPI for December jumping 0.5% M/M, surpassing consensus of 0.2%. Core PPI was even more surprising, at 0.7% M/M, and pushing the annual core to 3.3% vs. 2.9% consensus.

The Chicago PMI for January rose to 54, crushing expectations of 44 and moving back into expansion. This is the highest reading since November 2023.

For now, the market remains on the back foot.
| Comments |
| Great opening to your show today. I totally agree with your summary. The Fed needs you as an advisor!! Hope the new guy is listening!!! Tell Varney that the music in his opening is way too loud. Cannot hear the people repeating their remarks. Thanks for all you do!! David Hays on 1/30/2026 2:41:07 PM |
| Tweet |
| 2/11/2026 1:23 PM | Bumpy Start |
| 2/11/2026 9:43 AM | SHORTS SMELL BLOOD |
| 2/10/2026 1:46 PM | Modest Gains |
| 2/10/2026 9:35 AM | SCRIPT STILL FLIPPED |
| 2/9/2026 1:23 PM | A Solid Start to The Week |
| 2/9/2026 9:41 AM | TRANSPORTATION TELLS THE STORY |
| 2/6/2026 1:36 PM | Much Needed Rebound |
| 2/6/2026 9:41 AM | NOBODY GETS THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT |
| 2/5/2026 1:29 PM | Thursday Pullback |
| 2/5/2026 9:42 AM | TAKING BACK THE NARRATIVE |
| 2/4/2026 1:21 PM | Wednesday Wobble |
| 2/4/2026 9:29 AM | PAC-MAN ON THE PROWL |
| 2/3/2026 12:33 PM | Software Carnage |
| 2/3/2026 9:31 AM | THE WELL-WORN PATH TO PROSPERITY |
| 2/2/2026 1:15 PM | Nice Start To The Week |
| 2/2/2026 9:39 AM | POWELL SKATES PAST REPORTERS |
| 1/30/2026 1:07 PM | Market Digests Fed’s Pick |
| 1/30/2026 9:20 AM | Memory Momentum |
| 1/29/2026 12:32 PM | Software Slides |
| 1/29/2026 9:35 AM | POWELL SKATES PAST REPORTERS |
| 1/28/2026 1:24 PM | Big Tech On Deck |
| 1/28/2026 10:11 AM | CALLING IN THE (NEW) BIG GUNS |
| 1/27/2026 1:28 PM | Split Session |
| 1/27/2026 9:39 AM | IT'S A CARTOON WORLD |
| 1/26/2026 12:47 PM | Money Stays in The Market |
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