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Morning Commentary

SOME BOTTOM FISHING AMID ALL THE CHASING

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
11/21/2024 9:38 AM

It was another flat session yesterday ahead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) financial results after the close. Although they didn’t move the needle, all the ticker action was in Artificial Intelligence (AI), semiconductors, Bitcoin-related (BTC) names, and gold.

Health Care (XLV) came on strongly, followed by Energy (XLE) and Materials (XLB).

Bottom Fishing

It's an exciting market with momentum names going parabolic and with active bottom fishing in sectors like Health Care, or among formerly hot stocks that came crashing down to earth.

Year-to-date, Health Care is pulling up the rear big time.

NVDA Delivers

Nvidia (NVDA) posted financial results that crushed it in every way, only missing the whisper number. Sales grew faster in every business component than the consensus number, and demand for the Blackwell chip is off the chain.

The stock is a beast and makes its “Mag Seven” companions look like weaklings. I know picking tops is popular on Wall Street, but it’s a waste of time. On past occasions, all the great stocks everyone wished they owned, including NVDA, have gone through this treatment. 

Today’s Session

This morning the Philly Fed Manufacturing report missed consensus, but there is an interesting bifurcation between current and future activity.

Prices are elevated, but slightly lower, and employment improved markedly.


Comments
They need to name the next record-breaking roller coaster ride "ZIM"

Steven Kern on 11/21/2024 1:31:03 PM
Charles, please share with us your thoughts about the November LEI report. Sure looks like we have been in or near a Recession for several months now. And the trajectory is not promising.
Really enjoy you and your teams work.

P. Krueger on 11/21/2024 5:27:46 PM
The November results have not yet been released. The October LEI has dropped below it 6-month moving average anywhere between 2 to 15 months before a recession. Currently, the index has been below its 6-month moving average for 30 months but historically speaking there have been times where the LEI has been below the 6-month for multiple months without a recession. It's a wait-and-see game.

Karina Hernandez on 11/22/2024 5:16:06 PM
Got it - bought it...grown (sometimes groan) with it.

Fred Warner on 11/22/2024 7:00:37 AM
 

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