Morning Commentary
The title of our Hotline report on Friday was: CAN THE 493 CARRY THE RALLY?
Well, we got an emphatic answer, with an emphatic reversal. The S&P 500 opened higher then swooned big time, only to regain its footing around noon and then surge in the last thirty minutes of trading.
The move was extraordinary.
Last week was difficult, especially with all the Treasury issuance pushing bond yields higher after poor auction results.
There was a temperamental aspect to trading all week that lent itself to the possibility of a massive selloff as pressures mounted. There was a moment of truth on Friday and somehow the market turned higher on huge volume.
Same Tide
All eleven sectors were higher as there was lots of bottom fishing.
Market Breadth
Advancers swamped decliners, especially on the NYSE. The NASDAQ composite continues to see wide bifurcation resulting in more new lows than highs.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
2,169 |
2,473 |
|
Decliners |
666 |
1,723 |
|
New Highs |
109 |
79 |
|
New Lows |
38 |
95 |
|
Up Volume |
2.07 billion |
2.59 billion |
|
Down Volume |
1.06 billion |
2.33 billion |
Once again, the focus shifted to small caps as small cap value surged.
Value outperformed core and growth.
Up Arrows
It’s all up arrows, but where are the opportunities?
The Russell 2000 (IWM) looks very compelling, bouncing off its 50 day moving average.
The NASDAQ might be vulnerable as tech not named Nvidia (NVDA) are putting in mix performances of late.
Equal weight underscores how skewed this rally has been.
| Comments |
| What does 493 mean?? David Moreno on 6/3/2024 10:14:26 AM |
| Meaning the other 493 stocks of the S&P 500… excluding the Mag 7. Daliah Amar on 6/3/2024 10:21:09 AM |
| Tweet |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| 9/9/2026 9:35 AM | Al KILLER TRADE IS BACK |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
| 8/28/2026 1:39 PM | Jackson Hole Day |
| 8/28/2026 9:45 AM | TRYING TO SHAME THE FED CHAIR (IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK) |
| 8/27/2026 1:49 PM | Technology Leads the Charge |
| 8/27/2026 9:41 AM | NVDA DELIVERS |
| 8/26/2026 1:12 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
| 8/26/2026 9:37 AM | CONSUMERS LOOKING FOR END TO CONFLICT |
| 8/25/2026 1:43 PM | Subdued Action |
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