Afternoon Note
Major indices are mixed ahead of tomorrow’s CPI index for August. The reading may not influence the Fed ahead of its September meeting, but it will likely set the tone in the following weeks, as Powell weighs the next steps against inflation.
The Street expects an increase of 0.6%, which could boost the 12-month rate to 3.6% from 3.2%.
The median household income by retailer list released by Goldman yesterday is an interesting one. The report says the median household of a TJ Maxx (TJX) shopper is $87k vs. Burlington at $77k or Rost (ROST) at $74k. It raised a big question too, why Banana Republic (GPS) promotes so hard despite its affluent consumer?
Notably, in the 5-year time frame, mid and lower-end retailers have had the best performance.
Crude oil rose 2% and is nearing the $90 mark. The move is propelling the energy sector to lead its peers by a wide margin. Disappointing quarterly results and guidance from Oracle (ORCL) are pouring some cold water on the Technology sector, which sits at the bottom of the board.
Apple (AAPL) is holding an event today and will provide updates on some products such as the iPhone 15, ios17, USB-C charger, AirPods, etc. AAPL is down on the day, but off the worse levels.
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9/18/2025 7:13 AM | Risk Management Cut |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
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