Morning Commentary
A monster session yesterday for Technology. Just an emphatic statement against the conventional wisdom of Wall Street. And in many ways, this is just the beginning and we know this ride will be wild, so check your emotions at the door.
Growth continues to dominate value.
Selective
The selectiveness of this rally is maddening. It would be too simple to say it’s bifurcated because the winners are so much more than the decliners.
Moreover, the lack of coattails in the hottest stocks is clear. Take a look at all these NASDAQ-listed names leading the charge yesterday and then take a look at new highs versus new lows.
There is no halo-effect.
The advancers might bring along a few rival stocks, but not the entire industry, sector and oversold broad market.
Portfolio Approach
We added a new position in Technology yesterday to our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
Lots of economic data out this morning, and here’s the gist- the street now sees a rate hike at the next FOMC gathering.
A week ago, there was the thought to be a 17% chance of rate hike, but now it’s 57% chance.
PCE data for the most part was hotter than expected. Headline April PCE of 4.4% is much higher than consensus of 3.9% and above March read of 4.2%
Personal Income & Spending
Income came in as expected, but spending was hotter.
Consumer spending +0.8% consensus +0.5%.
Bond yields are reacting, but stocks are holding up; although, with little conviction.
Tweet |
7/26/2024 1:36 PM | Friday Recovery |
7/26/2024 9:29 AM | WRAPPED AROUND YOUR FINGER |
7/25/2024 12:58 PM | A Look at GDP |
7/25/2024 9:57 AM | TURNING THE PAGE ON RESOLVE |
7/24/2024 1:49 PM | Vulnerable Market |
7/24/2024 9:47 AM | Mega Misses |
7/23/2024 1:04 PM | Lay Summer Session |
7/23/2024 9:25 AM | MOST EXPANSIVE BREADTH = GREATER OPTIMISM |
7/22/2024 1:23 PM | Rebounding |
7/22/2024 9:47 AM | WILL THE HUNT FOR VALUE CONTINUE? |
7/19/2024 1:32 PM | Under Pressure |
7/19/2024 9:56 AM | STAR FOR ONLY A WEEK? |
7/18/2024 1:30 PM | All Eyes on Netflix |
7/18/2024 10:18 AM | BIG BETS ON TRUMP TRADE |
7/17/2024 1:37 PM | Technology Troubles |
7/17/2024 9:59 AM | EMPHATIC! |
7/16/2024 12:44 PM | AI Drifting Lower |
7/16/2024 9:52 AM | NEW KIND OF WINNING |
7/15/2024 1:32 PM | Small Caps On The Move |
7/15/2024 9:50 AM | FULL SPEED AHEAD |
7/12/2024 12:56 PM | Intriguing Small Caps |
7/12/2024 9:48 AM | IT’S GOOD TO BE THE KING |
7/11/2024 1:25 PM | Equal Weight Comeback? |
7/11/2024 9:42 AM | CALLING ALL STOCKS |
7/10/2024 1:15 PM | Rally Broadens |
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