Charles Payne's Market Commentary

Morning Commentary

THRILL RIDE

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
3/16/2023 9:53 AM

After watching people slap the hell out of each other (it has become a major sport), I’m wracking my brain on how I can turn these wild market gyrations into an amusement park ride. I’d call it ‘Extreme Fear’ or maybe ‘Extreme Fear Mongering.’ Still, five sectors edged into the plus column yesterday ahead of the closing bell.

Heat Map

Large-cap Technology (XLK) continues its remarkable ride in 2023 – picking the right moment to continue to defy conventional wisdom. So, stop trying to bury mega-caps; they aren’t dead yet.

S&P 500 Map

By the way, rate hikes aren’t dead yet, either. The Street sees two additional 25-basis points (bps) hikes followed by a rapid series of rate cuts. That means the lag is gaining momentum, and before summer officially gets underway, Powell will pause and begin beating a hasty retreat.

Gold miners were the best-performing industry, but Internet continues its remarkable rally. The move in water is interesting as well.

Mega-Cap Picks Up Steam

The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) has significantly outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). ,The chart looks great (cup and handle formation) and there could be much more upside.

The S&P Technology Sector (XLK) has held up above key moving averages and makes a major breakout with a close above 144.

Chart

Portfolio Approach

We continue to keep our Current Buys suspended this morning.

Today’s Session

The European Central Bank has hiked rates by 50bps this morning, as they promised. The street was hoping for no rate hike, which would have added more pressure on the Federal Reserve. The press conference starts soon.

Lots of data out this morning, but the hit to Philly Fed stands out. 23.2 consensus -14.7.

Prices are coming down significantly.

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3/16/2023 9:53 AM	THRILL RIDE
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