Afternoon Note
It’s been a real slog today, as markets never took the bait from the higher initial jobless claims. The big drag are Financials, which are being pulled down by regional banks and those associated with cryptocurrency.

It’s unlikely there would be a serious contagion effect from another failed exchange but take a look at the largest decliners on the S&P 500 today.
|
Northern Trust Corp. |
XLF |
-4.26 |
-4.62% |
|
Bank of America Corp. |
XLF |
-1.56 |
-4.78% |
|
KeyCorp |
XLF |
-0.85 |
-4.88% |
|
Comerica Inc. |
XLF |
-4.32 |
-6.42% |
|
The Charles Schwab Corp. |
XLF |
-5.33 |
-6.99% |
|
Zions Bancorporation NA |
XLF |
-3.86 |
-8.27% |
|
Signature Bank (New York New York) |
XLF |
-8.81 |
-8.52% |
|
First Republic Bank (San Francisco California) |
XLF |
-17.44 |
-15.17% |
|
SVB Financial Group |
XLF |
-123.25 |
-46.02% |
This is ugly.

Meanwhile, we are bracing for those jobs numbers and all the assumptions about the consumer. But the big splurge in January is over, and while services remain high, in part to inflated prices, this is more evidence the consumer is pulling back.

| Tweet |
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| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
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| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
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