Afternoon Note
I have to say, I'm watching this market in amazement. It is saying recession is still here, or on the way, and the Fed will not be able to hike as much as they claim.
There has been an adjustment on what the street sees at the next FOMC gathering ...
Before Jobs Report

...but not much changed; 75bps instead of 50 bps in September, but still sees a rate cut next July

The market bounced early, and as those things go, it was too soon. I figured the ensuing pullback would trigger more selling and folks would simply head to the beach. But the market is moving higher again.
It doesn't have to close in the green to be a moral victory. Heck, anything less than a once percent loss would be a big win - but heads would explode at the Fed.
I love the short squeezes today - I did a segment on my show. It’s so hard to feature them to paid subscribers because of the risk/reward. But just musing out loud, I wouldn’t be surprised to see big moves in Big Lots (BIG), Groupon (GRPN) and Marathon Digital (MARA).
Have a great weekend.
| Tweet |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
| 8/28/2026 1:39 PM | Jackson Hole Day |
| 8/28/2026 9:45 AM | TRYING TO SHAME THE FED CHAIR (IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK) |
| 8/27/2026 1:49 PM | Technology Leads the Charge |
| 8/27/2026 9:41 AM | NVDA DELIVERS |
| 8/26/2026 1:12 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
| 8/26/2026 9:37 AM | CONSUMERS LOOKING FOR END TO CONFLICT |
| 8/25/2026 1:43 PM | Subdued Action |
| 8/25/2026 9:44 AM | USA BRINGING THE HAMMER (BUT STILL SHOWING RESTRAINT) |
| 8/24/2026 1:28 PM | Bessent on Deck |
| 8/24/2026 9:32 AM | JENSEN IN THE BATTER'S BOX |
| 8/21/2026 1:06 PM | Market Moves Higher into the Weekend |
| 8/21/2026 9:41 AM | BOND RELIEF EVAPORATES |
| 8/20/2026 1:35 PM | Bessent Weighs In |
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