Afternoon Note
Markets are seeing another seesaw session as investors brace for the Fed’s decision. The major average held onto gains even after a weaker-than-expected May retail sales.
For weeks, the members of the Fed have been saying they’re on board with increasing their key policy rate by 50 points at each of the next two meetings. Investors are now pricing in a 75-basis point hike when the FOMC announces its decision this afternoon.
|
Institution |
Estimates |
|
Barclays |
+75bps |
|
Deutsche Bank |
+75bps |
|
Goldman |
+75bps |
|
JPMorgan |
+75bps |
|
Jefferies |
+75bps |
|
Nomura |
+75bps |
|
Bank of America |
+50bps |
|
Morgan Stanley |
+50bps |
|
S&P 500 Index |
+0.94% |
|
|
Communication Services XLC |
+1.72% |
|
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+2.26% |
|
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
-0.01% |
|
|
Energy XLE |
|
-0.86% |
|
Financials XLF |
+1.31% |
|
|
Health Care XLV |
+0.67% |
|
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.81% |
|
|
Materials XLB |
-0.13% |
|
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+1.44% |
|
|
Technology XLK |
+1.60% |
|
|
Utilities XLU |
+0.13% |
The NAHB Sentiment feel in June of 67 from 69 and in-line of consensus.
| Tweet |
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| 1/6/2026 1:24 PM | Strength Continues |
| 1/6/2026 9:38 AM | CALLING ALL SPACE CADETS |
| 1/5/2026 1:36 PM | Starting Off Right |
| 1/5/2026 10:00 AM | 2026 NEW NARRATIVES |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
| 12/30/2025 9:38 AM | FED MINUTES TODAY |
| 12/29/2025 2:11 PM | Holiday Continues |
| 12/29/2025 9:44 AM | LARGE STAYS IN CHARGE HEADING INTO 2026 |
| 12/26/2025 12:47 PM | Slow Session |
| 12/26/2025 9:30 AM | The Market’s Gift: New Heights |
| 12/24/2025 9:10 AM | HO HO HO, MERRY CHRISTMAS |
| 12/23/2025 1:35 PM | Just In Time For Santa |
| 12/23/2025 9:26 AM | STRONG START TO A SHORTENED TRADING WEEK |
| 12/22/2025 1:37 PM | Broad Strength |
| 12/22/2025 9:26 AM | GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END |
| 12/19/2025 1:40 PM | Is Santa Coming? |
| 12/19/2025 9:38 AM | DEAR SANTA |
| 12/18/2025 1:44 PM | Markets Enthusiastic |
| 12/18/2025 9:28 AM | ORACLE CONTINUES TO HAUNT THE AI TRADE |
| 12/17/2025 1:23 PM | Technology Slides |
| 12/17/2025 9:40 AM | SPRING LOADED |
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