Afternoon Note
Markets are seeing another seesaw session as investors brace for the Fed’s decision. The major average held onto gains even after a weaker-than-expected May retail sales.
For weeks, the members of the Fed have been saying they’re on board with increasing their key policy rate by 50 points at each of the next two meetings. Investors are now pricing in a 75-basis point hike when the FOMC announces its decision this afternoon.
Institution |
Estimates |
Barclays |
+75bps |
Deutsche Bank |
+75bps |
Goldman |
+75bps |
JPMorgan |
+75bps |
Jefferies |
+75bps |
Nomura |
+75bps |
Bank of America |
+50bps |
Morgan Stanley |
+50bps |
S&P 500 Index |
+0.94% |
|
Communication Services XLC |
+1.72% |
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+2.26% |
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
-0.01% |
|
Energy XLE |
|
-0.86% |
Financials XLF |
+1.31% |
|
Health Care XLV |
+0.67% |
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.81% |
|
Materials XLB |
-0.13% |
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+1.44% |
|
Technology XLK |
+1.60% |
|
Utilities XLU |
+0.13% |
The NAHB Sentiment feel in June of 67 from 69 and in-line of consensus.
Tweet |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
6/24/2025 1:47 PM | Peace Rally |
6/24/2025 9:48 AM | PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: THE MARKET LOVES IT |
6/23/2025 1:47 PM | Getting Some Resolve |
6/23/2025 9:51 AM | BRACING |
6/20/2025 1:29 PM | Second Triple Witching |
6/20/2025 9:38 AM | POWELL BLEW IT |
6/18/2025 12:41 PM | FED Day |
6/18/2025 9:45 AM | ROOM WITH A VIEW |
6/17/2025 1:26 PM | Tension Continues |
6/17/2025 9:50 AM | THE BIG TECH TEN & CO |
6/16/2025 1:34 PM | Fears Subside |
6/16/2025 9:44 AM | DRUMBEATS OF PEACE |
6/13/2025 1:30 PM | Showing Resilience |
6/13/2025 9:37 AM | THE NEW NUCLEAR AGE |
6/12/2025 1:27 PM | Interest Rates in Focus |
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