Afternoon Note
The market bolted out the gate but almost immediately stalled and pulled back ahead of a bunch of economic data releases. The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Report was one of them. General business climbed, and was slightly better than expected, but prices paid for raw materials was the lead. Yet another sign of runaway inflation, as it was an all-time record high.
I was encouraged by cap ex and continue to see a boom in business investments.
|
Indicator |
May Index |
Apr Index |
Trend |
% Reporting Increase |
% Reporting Decrease |
|
Production |
15.7 |
34.0 |
12(+) |
40.0 |
24.3 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
23.2 |
34.6 |
12(+) |
43.4 |
20.2 |
|
New Orders |
20.8 |
38.5 |
12(+) |
44.5 |
23.7 |
|
Rate of Orders |
19.5 |
32.3 |
11(+) |
40.6 |
21.1 |
|
Unfilled Orders |
19.8 |
23.1 |
11(+) |
31.7 |
11.9 |
|
Prices Paid |
79.9 |
71.4 |
13(+) |
81.8 |
1.9 |
|
Prices Received |
38.4 |
39.1 |
10(+) |
43.0 |
4.6 |
|
Wages and Benefits |
39.0 |
37.1 |
13(+) |
40.0 |
1.0 |
|
Employment |
22.7 |
31.3 |
11(+) |
29.0 |
6.3 |
|
Hours Worked |
22.7 |
23.7 |
11(+) |
32.9 |
10.2 |
|
Capital Expenditures |
23.2 |
19.8 |
10(+) |
29.7 |
6.5 |
Broad Market
The S&P 500 spinning its wheels but seems to want to move higher. Utilities and Consumer Staples are lagging along with health care – signs investors want to be aggressive.
Energy acts the best with crude on the rise, but Materials are also impressive.
|
S&P 500 Index |
+0.04% |
|
|
Communication Services XLC |
+0.02% |
|
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+0.04% |
|
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
-0.34% |
|
|
Energy XLE |
+3.29% |
|
|
Financials XLF |
+0.78% |
|
|
Health Care XLV |
-1.55% |
|
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.66% |
|
|
Materials XLB |
+1.35% |
|
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+1.02% |
|
|
Technology XLK |
-0.31% |
|
|
Utilities XLU |
-0.46% |
| Tweet |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
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