Afternoon Note
The market bolted out the gate but almost immediately stalled and pulled back ahead of a bunch of economic data releases. The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Report was one of them. General business climbed, and was slightly better than expected, but prices paid for raw materials was the lead. Yet another sign of runaway inflation, as it was an all-time record high.
I was encouraged by cap ex and continue to see a boom in business investments.
Indicator |
May Index |
Apr Index |
Trend |
% Reporting Increase |
% Reporting Decrease |
Production |
15.7 |
34.0 |
12(+) |
40.0 |
24.3 |
Capacity Utilization |
23.2 |
34.6 |
12(+) |
43.4 |
20.2 |
New Orders |
20.8 |
38.5 |
12(+) |
44.5 |
23.7 |
Rate of Orders |
19.5 |
32.3 |
11(+) |
40.6 |
21.1 |
Unfilled Orders |
19.8 |
23.1 |
11(+) |
31.7 |
11.9 |
Prices Paid |
79.9 |
71.4 |
13(+) |
81.8 |
1.9 |
Prices Received |
38.4 |
39.1 |
10(+) |
43.0 |
4.6 |
Wages and Benefits |
39.0 |
37.1 |
13(+) |
40.0 |
1.0 |
Employment |
22.7 |
31.3 |
11(+) |
29.0 |
6.3 |
Hours Worked |
22.7 |
23.7 |
11(+) |
32.9 |
10.2 |
Capital Expenditures |
23.2 |
19.8 |
10(+) |
29.7 |
6.5 |
Broad Market
The S&P 500 spinning its wheels but seems to want to move higher. Utilities and Consumer Staples are lagging along with health care – signs investors want to be aggressive.
Energy acts the best with crude on the rise, but Materials are also impressive.
S&P 500 Index |
+0.04% |
|
Communication Services XLC |
+0.02% |
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+0.04% |
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
-0.34% |
|
Energy XLE |
+3.29% |
|
Financials XLF |
+0.78% |
|
Health Care XLV |
-1.55% |
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.66% |
|
Materials XLB |
+1.35% |
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+1.02% |
|
Technology XLK |
-0.31% |
|
Utilities XLU |
-0.46% |
Tweet |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
8/29/2025 1:33 PM | Fed Governor Cook(ed)? |
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